UFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs. Ladd
Sacramento, USA
13 Jul 2019
Middleweight
VS
75%
Vettori
25%
Ferreira
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Marvin
Marvin Vettori
"The Italian Dream"
19 – 10
6'0"74" reachSouthpaw32 yrs4-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 50
CF
Cezar Ferreira
"Mutante"
13 – 8
Well-Rounded2-fight slide41 yrsSouthpaw78" reach6'1"
CFR 17

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Vettori

Vettori is a strong favourite at 75% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 34 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Ferreira has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.

Vettori has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Ferreira has a chin rating of 28 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Vettori
Ferreira
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'1"
74"
Reach
+78"
32+
Age
41
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Vettori
Ferreira
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
50.2
16.6
40.0
Performance Avg
49.5
31
Quality of Victory
43
84
Momentum Score
58
Vettori
Ferreira
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
0.6
48%
Strike Accuracy
39%
1.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.2
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
26
Head
9
3
Body
0
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
23Distance7
8Clinch3
0Ground0
Vettori
Ferreira
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.6
/ 10
4.3
/ 10
2.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.0
2.2
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
2
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Vettori
Ferreira
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
84
28
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
8 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/29 fights
Chin rating based on
15/21 fights
Vettori
Ferreira
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
84
58
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Vettori
Ferreira
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
22%
33%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
3
7
Decision Wins
6

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Vettori
Ferreira
Striking1.1 / 1.2Volume7.3 / 6.5Grappling3.6 / 4.3Wrestling2.5 / 3.0Submission2.2 / 3.3Pressure3.1 / 4.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.2
3.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.3
2.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
2.2
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
3.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.1
7.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.5
Vettori
Strike Zones
Ferreira
Vettori
Attacking
26HEAD3BODY2LEGS31 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD0BODY1LEGS10 absorbed
Ferreira
Attacking
9HEAD0BODY1LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
26HEAD3BODY2LEGS31 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Vettori targets the head (84% of attacks) — Ferreira absorbs 84% of strikes there
🎯Ferreira targets the head (90% of attacks) — Vettori absorbs 90% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Vettori
RND
Ferreira
0/0R00/0

Vettori · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.8
0105.0W5.5L4.5W6.9L4.5W4.5W5.0W5.4W5.1W6.9L5.5W6.4L5.9W6.5L6.9L6.8L7.1L2016-082019-102021-102025-072025-12
WinLossTrend

Ferreira · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.4
0104.5W5.0W4.5W1.5L4.5W1.5L1.5L4.5W5.7W6.2W5.5L4.5W5.0W5.5L6.3L2012-062014-062016-072018-052019-07
WinLossTrend

Vettori · Last 5

Upcoming
Ismail Naurdiev
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · 2026-06
L · Dec · R3
Brunno FerreiraRating 7.1
Decision
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
L · Dec · R3
Brendan AllenRating 6.8
Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
L · Dec · R5
Roman DolidzeRating 6.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · 2025-03
L · Dec · R5
Jared CannonierRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier · 2023-06

Ferreira · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Marvin VettoriRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs. Ladd · 2019-07
L · Dec · R3
Ian HeinischRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponzinibbio · 2018-11
W · Sub · R1
Karl RobersonRating 5
Submission
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington · 2018-05
W · Dec · R3
Nate MarquardtRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Pettis · 2017-11
L · Dec · R3
Elias TheodorouRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Browne · 2017-02

News & Media

Marvin Vettori · Cezar Ferreira
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