METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 203: Miocic vs. Overeem
Cleveland, USA
10 Sept 2016
Lightweight
VS
88%
Lentz
12%
McBride
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:17
★ Official Result
Nik LentzwinsKO/TKOR2 · 4:17
def. Michael McBride · UFC 203: Miocic vs. Overeem
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Lentz
→
Actual result
Lentz wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Lentz is a strong favourite at 88% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Lentz has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 35 points.
Risk flags
Lentz's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
LentzMcBride
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Lentz
McBride
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+6'1"
68"
Reach
42
Age
+40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Lentz
McBride
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.0
2.1
45.3
Performance Avg
0.0
35
Quality of Victory
0
53
Momentum Score
0
Lentz
McBride
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.4
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
4.3
Style: Pressure
0.0
6.4
Style: Volume
0.0
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
20
Head
8
2
Body
1
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
5Distance9
0Clinch0
17Ground2
Lentz
McBride
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.7
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
1.4
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Lentz
McBride
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
76
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
25/42 fights
Chin rating based on
2/11 fights
Lentz
McBride
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
53
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Lentz
McBride
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
36%
0%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
9
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Lentz
McBride
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
1.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
6.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
LentzMcBride
Strike Zones
Lentz
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedMcBride
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Lentz targets the head (91% of attacks) — McBride absorbs 91% of strikes there
🎯McBride targets the head (73% of attacks) — Lentz absorbs 73% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Lentz
RND
McBride
0/0R00/0
Lentz · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Movsar EvloevDecision
UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor · 2021-01
L · Dec · R3
Arnold AllenDecision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Dos Santos · 2020-01
L · KO · R2
Charles OliveiraKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee · 2019-05
W · Dec · R3
Scott HoltzmanDecision
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez · 2019-02
W · KO · R2
Gray MaynardKO/TKO
UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor · 2018-10
McBride · Last 2
L · Dec · R3
Scott HoltzmanDecision
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lobov · 2017-04
L · KO · R2
Nik LentzKO/TKO
UFC 203: Miocic vs. Overeem · 2016-09