UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo
Des Moines, USA
3 May 2025
Bantamweight
VS
53%
Sandhagen
47%
Figueiredo
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:08
Cory
Cory Sandhagen
18 – 6
5'11"70" reachSwitch34 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 64
Deiveson
Deiveson Figueiredo
"Deus da Guerra"
25 – 6
Well-Rounded38 yrsOrthodox68" reach5'5"
CFR 56

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Sandhagen

This is a genuine toss-up — Sandhagen at 53% vs Figueiredo at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Sandhagen throws more volume but Figueiredo connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Figueiredo has a chin rating of 58 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Sandhagen
Figueiredo
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'5"
70"+
Reach
68"
34+
Age
38
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Sandhagen
Figueiredo
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
64.2
56.4
53.8
Performance Avg
57.9
44
Quality of Victory
50
100
Momentum Score
55
Sandhagen
Figueiredo
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
0.9
44%
Strike Accuracy
54%
5.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.3
5 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
3
1
Body
0
11
Leg
1
RangeRange
14Distance3
0Clinch1
9Ground0
Sandhagen
Figueiredo
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.3
1.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Sandhagen
Figueiredo
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
80
58
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/24 fights
Chin rating based on
22/31 fights
Sandhagen
Figueiredo
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
55
Upcoming
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R5
Sandhagen
Figueiredo
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
55%
57%
5
KO / TKO Wins
4
1
Submission Wins
4
5
Decision Wins
6

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Sandhagen
Figueiredo
Striking5.9 / 4.3Volume4.3 / 4.8Grappling1.6 / 3.3Wrestling1.1 / 2.3Submission0.9 / 2.9Pressure5.9 / 6.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.3
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.3
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.3
0.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.9
5.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.1
4.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
Sandhagen
Strike Zones
Figueiredo
Sandhagen
Attacking
11HEAD1BODY11LEGS23 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD0BODY1LEGS4 absorbed
Figueiredo
Attacking
3HEAD0BODY1LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD1BODY11LEGS23 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Sandhagen targets the head (48% of attacks) — Figueiredo absorbs 48% of strikes there
🎯Figueiredo targets the head (75% of attacks) — Sandhagen absorbs 75% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Sandhagen
RND
Figueiredo
0/0R00/0

Sandhagen · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0105.2W5.2W6.1W4.5W4.5W2.5L5.1W5.0W5.6L7.0L5.7W5.3W5.7W6.8L6.2W6.8L2018-012019-082021-072023-082025-10
WinLossTrend

Figueiredo · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0105.2W4.5W7.3W5.2W5.5L5.8W5.1W5.1W5.0W6.3W3.6L5.4W5.6L5.7W6.3W5.3W7.0L3.6L5.4W6.8L2017-062019-072021-062024-082026-01
WinLossTrend

Sandhagen · Last 5

Upcoming
Mario Bautista
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
L · Dec · R5
Merab DvalishviliRating 6.8
Decision
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · KO · R2
Deiveson FigueiredoRating 6.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
L · Dec · R5
Umar NurmagomedovRating 6.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08
W · Dec · R5
Rob FontRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font · 2023-08

Figueiredo · Last 5

Upcoming
Song Yadong
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Umar NurmagomedovRating 6.8
Decision
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
W · Dec · R3
Montel JacksonRating 5.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10
L · KO · R2
Cory SandhagenRating 3.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
L · Dec · R5
Petr YanRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · 2024-11

News & Media

Cory Sandhagen · Deiveson Figueiredo
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