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UFC 144: Edgar vs Henderson
Saitama, Japan
25 Feb 2012
Lightweight
VS
52%
Pettis
48%
Lauzon
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 Β· 1:21
AP
Anthony Pettis
"Showtime"
24 – 10
5'10"72" reachOrthodox39 yrs2-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 19
JL
Joe Lauzon
28 – 16
Well-Rounded42 yrsOrthodox71" reach5'10"
CFR 18
β˜… Official Result
Anthony PettiswinsKO/TKOR1 Β· 1:21
def. Joe Lauzon Β· UFC 144: Edgar vs Henderson

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis Β· prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Pettis
β†’
Actual result
Pettis wins
KO/TKO Β· R1
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up β€” Pettis at 52% vs Lauzon at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Lauzon throws more volume but Pettis connects at a higher rate β€” quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Pettis's chin rating of 12 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Lauzon has a chin rating of 0 β€” a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight β€” Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
PettisLauzon
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
β€”
Strike Accuracy
β€”
Pettis
Lauzon
Physical Matchup
Height Β· Reach Β· Age Β· Stance
5'10"
Height
5'10"
72"+
Reach
71"
39+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Pettis
Lauzon
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.8
17.7
52.6
Performance Avg
51.5
51
Quality of Victory
49
72
Momentum Score
59
Pettis
Lauzon
Striking
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
1.2
1.3
52%
Strike Accuracy
43%
3.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.4
3 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
0
0
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
6Distance0
0Clinch0
3Ground0
Pettis
Lauzon
Grappling
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
β€”
β€”
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
3.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.0
2.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Pettis
Lauzon
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
12
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
5
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.6 stoppage
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
β€”
Strikes absorbed / min
β€”
20/34 fights
Chin rating based on
27/44 fights
Pettis
Lauzon
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance β€” most recent weighted 30%
72
59
2-fight πŸ”₯ win streak
Current form
W Β· Dec Β· R3
W Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· Sub Β· R2
L Β· Dec Β· R3
W Β· KO Β· R2
Last 5
W Β· KO Β· R1
L Β· KO Β· R2
L Β· KO Β· R1
L Β· Dec Β· R3
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Pettis
Lauzon
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
64%
80%
3
KO / TKO Wins
5
4
Submission Wins
7
4
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar β€” 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Pettis
Lauzon
Striking3.8 / 4.4Volume4.0 / 2.2Grappling3.8 / 4.0Wrestling2.6 / 2.8Submission3.6 / 4.7Pressure6.1 / 7.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.4
3.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.0
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.8
3.6
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.7
6.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.3
4.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.2
Pettis
Strike Zones
Lauzon
Pettis
Attacking
8HEAD0BODY1LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Lauzon
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD0BODY1LEGS9 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Pettis targets the head (89% of attacks) β€” Lauzon absorbs 89% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight Β· per-round breakdown

Pettis
RND
Lauzon
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Pettis Β· QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0106.0L5.0W5.0W5.0W5.0W5.1W5.7L5.5L6.0L6.9W3.8L4.9W4.1L6.0W3.3L5.7W5.5L3.8L4.5W4.5W2011-062014-122016-122019-032020-12
WinLossTrend

Lauzon Β· QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.0W5.2W5.0W2.8L5.2W5.8W5.5L5.0W2.8L5.0W5.0W1.5L5.5W5.9L5.6L4.5W5.0W2.8L5.0W5.5L5.0W5.9L4.5W5.5L2.0L2.8L5.5W2006-092010-082013-082016-082019-10
WinLossTrend

Pettis Β· Last 5

W Β· Dec Β· R3
Alex MoronoRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Neal Β· 2020-12
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Donald CerroneRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje Β· 2020-05
L Β· Sub Β· R2
Diego FerreiraRating 3.8
Submission
UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy Β· 2020-01
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Nate DiazRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 Β· 2019-08
W Β· KO Β· R2
Stephen ThompsonRating 5.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Pettis Β· 2019-03

Lauzon Β· Last 5

W Β· KO Β· R1
Jonathan PearceRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Weidman Β· 2019-10
L Β· KO Β· R2
Chris GruetzemacherRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta Β· 2018-04
L Β· KO Β· R1
Clay GuidaRating 2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Pettis Β· 2017-11
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Stevie RayRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lobov Β· 2017-04
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Marcin HeldRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Penn Β· 2017-01

News & Media

Anthony Pettis Β· Joe Lauzon
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