UFC 144: Edgar vs Henderson
Saitama, Japan
25 Feb 2012
Lightweight
VS
52%
Pettis
48%
Lauzon
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:21
AP
Anthony Pettis
"Showtime"
24 – 10
5'10"72" reachOrthodox39 yrs2-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 19
JL
Joe Lauzon
28 – 16
Well-Rounded42 yrsOrthodox71" reach5'10"
CFR 18

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Pettis

This is a genuine toss-up — Pettis at 52% vs Lauzon at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Lauzon throws more volume but Pettis connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Pettis's chin rating of 12 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Lauzon has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Pettis
Lauzon
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
5'10"
72"+
Reach
71"
39+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Pettis
Lauzon
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.8
17.7
52.6
Performance Avg
51.5
51
Quality of Victory
49
72
Momentum Score
59
Pettis
Lauzon
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.3
52%
Strike Accuracy
43%
3.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.4
3 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
0
0
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
6Distance0
0Clinch0
3Ground0
Pettis
Lauzon
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
3.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.0
2.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Pettis
Lauzon
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
12
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
5
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.6 stoppage
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/34 fights
Chin rating based on
27/44 fights
Pettis
Lauzon
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
72
59
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Pettis
Lauzon
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
64%
80%
3
KO / TKO Wins
5
4
Submission Wins
7
4
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Pettis
Lauzon
Striking3.8 / 4.4Volume4.0 / 2.2Grappling3.8 / 4.0Wrestling2.6 / 2.8Submission3.6 / 4.7Pressure6.1 / 7.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.4
3.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.0
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.8
3.6
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.7
6.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.3
4.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.2
Pettis
Strike Zones
Lauzon
Pettis
Attacking
8HEAD0BODY1LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Lauzon
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD0BODY1LEGS9 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Pettis targets the head (89% of attacks) — Lauzon absorbs 89% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Pettis
RND
Lauzon
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Pettis · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0106.0L5.0W5.0W5.0W5.0W5.1W5.7L5.5L6.0L6.9W3.8L4.9W4.1L6.0W3.3L5.7W5.5L3.8L4.5W4.5W2011-062014-122016-122019-032020-12
WinLossTrend

Lauzon · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.0W5.2W5.0W2.8L5.2W5.8W5.5L5.0W2.8L5.0W5.0W1.5L5.5W5.9L5.6L4.5W5.0W2.8L5.0W5.5L5.0W5.9L4.5W5.5L2.0L2.8L5.5W2006-092010-082013-082016-082019-10
WinLossTrend

Pettis · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Alex MoronoRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Neal · 2020-12
W · Dec · R3
Donald CerroneRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje · 2020-05
L · Sub · R2
Diego FerreiraRating 3.8
Submission
UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy · 2020-01
L · Dec · R3
Nate DiazRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 · 2019-08
W · KO · R2
Stephen ThompsonRating 5.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Pettis · 2019-03

Lauzon · Last 5

W · KO · R1
Jonathan PearceRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Weidman · 2019-10
L · KO · R2
Chris GruetzemacherRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta · 2018-04
L · KO · R1
Clay GuidaRating 2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Pettis · 2017-11
L · Dec · R3
Stevie RayRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lobov · 2017-04
W · Dec · R3
Marcin HeldRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Penn · 2017-01

News & Media

Anthony Pettis · Joe Lauzon
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