UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev
New York City, USA
15 Nov 2025
Lightweight
VS
44%
Dariush
56%
Denis
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:16

CFR 71
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Denis
This is a genuine toss-up — Dariush at 44% vs Denis at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Denis has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.
Denis has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Dariush's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Dariush
Denis
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+5'11"
72"
Reach
+73"
37
Age
+30
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Dariush
Denis
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
54.9
70.9
50.4
Performance Avg
62.5
39
Quality of Victory
54
100
Momentum Score
91
Dariush
Denis
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
2.7
51%
Strike Accuracy
60%
3.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.1
3 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
3
1
Body
0
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance0
1Clinch2
0Ground1
Dariush
Denis
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
3.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.6
2.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Dariush
Denis
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
74
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
7
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.1 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
26/31 fights
Chin rating based on
13/20 fights
Dariush
Denis
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
91
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Last 5
Upcoming
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R2
Dariush
Denis
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
47%
100%
3
KO / TKO Wins
5
5
Submission Wins
4
9
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Dariush
Denis
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.1
3.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.6
2.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.5
2.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.4
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
9.3
5.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.5
DariushDenis
Strike Zones
Dariush
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedDenis
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Dariush targets the legs (67% of attacks) — Denis absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Denis targets the head (100% of attacks) — Dariush absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Dariush
RND
Denis
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Dariush · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Denis · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Dariush · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Quillan SalkilldRating 3.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · 2026-05
L · KO · R1
Benoit Saint DenisRating 3.3KO/TKO
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Renato MoicanoRating 5.3Decision
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
L · KO · R1
Arman TsarukyanRating 3.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · 2023-12
L · KO · R1
Charles OliveiraRating 2.9KO/TKO
UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana · 2023-06
Denis · Last 5
Upcoming
Paddy PimblettUFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
W · KO · R2
Dan HookerRating 6.1KO/TKO
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · 2026-01
W · KO · R1
Beneil DariushRating 6KO/TKO
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
W · Sub · R2
Mauricio RuffyRating 6.9Submission
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · 2025-09
W · Sub · R2
Kyle PrepolecRating 5.2Submission
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
