UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. The Korean Zombie
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
17 Oct 2020
Women's Flyweight
VS
71%
Robertson
29%
Botelho
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Robertson
Robertson is a strong favourite at 71% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 35 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Robertson throws more volume but Botelho connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Robertson's chin rating of 58 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Robertson
Botelho
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
+5'8"
63"
Reach
+67"
31+
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Robertson
Botelho
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
59.1
24.2
55.0
Performance Avg
39.1
45
Quality of Victory
37
74
Momentum Score
54
Robertson
Botelho
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.2
52%
Strike Accuracy
55%
3.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.2
3 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
26
Head
4
0
Body
1
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance5
0Clinch0
26Ground0
Robertson
Botelho
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
4.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.6
3.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Robertson
Botelho
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
58
72
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
14 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/25 fights
Chin rating based on
7/13 fights
Robertson
Botelho
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
74
54
5-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Robertson
Botelho
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
71%
33%
3
KO / TKO Wins
1
7
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Robertson
Botelho
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.2
4.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
3.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.6
3.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.2
RobertsonBotelho
Strike Zones
Robertson
Attacking
29 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedBotelho
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
29 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Robertson targets the head (90% of attacks) — Botelho absorbs 90% of strikes there
🎯Botelho targets the head (80% of attacks) — Robertson absorbs 80% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Robertson
RND
Botelho
0/0R00/0
Robertson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Botelho · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Robertson · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Amanda LemosRating 5.6Decision
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L · Sub · R1
Karine SilvaRating 2.7Submission
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Lauren MuellerRating 4.5Decision
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