METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 154: St-Pierre vs Condit
Montreal, Canada
17 Nov 2012
Bantamweight
VS
91%
Menjivar
9%
Gashimov
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:44
IM
CFR 19
★ Official Result
Ivan MenjivarwinsSubmissionR1 · 2:44
def. Azamat Gashimov · UFC 154: St-Pierre vs Condit
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Menjivar
→
Actual result
Menjivar wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Menjivar is a strong favourite at 91% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Menjivar has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 48 points.
Menjivar has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Gashimov has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MenjivarGashimov
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Menjivar
Gashimov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
5'6"
64"
Reach
44
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Menjivar
Gashimov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.2
1.8
46.7
Performance Avg
0.0
48
Quality of Victory
0
64
Momentum Score
0
Menjivar
Gashimov
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.1
0.5
38%
Strike Accuracy
21%
3.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
3
1
Body
0
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
4Distance2
0Clinch0
2Ground2
Menjivar
Gashimov
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.6
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
3.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Menjivar
Gashimov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
80
66
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/37 fights
Chin rating based on
2/11 fights
Menjivar
Gashimov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
64
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
Menjivar
Gashimov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Menjivar
Gashimov
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
4.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
2.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
MenjivarGashimov
Strike Zones
Menjivar
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedGashimov
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Menjivar targets the head (50% of attacks) — Gashimov absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Gashimov targets the head (75% of attacks) — Menjivar absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Menjivar
RND
Gashimov
0/0R00/0
Menjivar · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Gashimov · QOF Timeline
Avg: 2.1WinLossTrend
Menjivar · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Hatsu HiokiRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kim vs Hathaway · 2014-03
L · Dec · R3
Wilson ReisRating 5.5Decision
UFC 165: Jones vs Gustafsson · 2013-09
L · Sub · R1
Urijah FaberRating 1.5Submission
UFC 157: Rousey vs Carmouche · 2013-02
W · Sub · R1
Azamat GashimovRating 5Submission
UFC 154: St-Pierre vs Condit · 2012-11
L · Dec · R3
Mike EastonRating 5.5Decision
UFC 148: Silva vs Sonnen 2 · 2012-07
Gashimov · Last 2
L · KO · R2
John LinekerRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC on FX: Belfort vs. Rockhold · 2013-05
L · Sub · R1
Ivan MenjivarRating 1.5Submission
UFC 154: St-Pierre vs Condit · 2012-11