UFC 154: St-Pierre vs Condit
Montreal, Canada
17 Nov 2012
Bantamweight
VS
91%
Menjivar
9%
Gashimov
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:44
IM
Ivan Menjivar
"The Pride of El Salvador"
25 – 12
5'6"64" reachOrthodox43 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 19
AG
Azamat Gashimov
8 – 3
Well-Rounded2-fight slide36 yrsOrthodox5'6"
CFR 2

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Menjivar

Menjivar is a strong favourite at 91% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Menjivar has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 48 points.

Menjivar has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Gashimov has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Menjivar
Gashimov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
5'6"
64"
Reach
43
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Menjivar
Gashimov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.2
1.8
46.7
Performance Avg
0.0
48
Quality of Victory
0
64
Momentum Score
0
Menjivar
Gashimov
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
0.5
38%
Strike Accuracy
21%
3.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
3
1
Body
0
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
4Distance2
0Clinch0
2Ground2
Menjivar
Gashimov
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
4.6
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
3.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Menjivar
Gashimov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
80
66
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/37 fights
Chin rating based on
2/11 fights
Menjivar
Gashimov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
64
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
Menjivar
Gashimov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Menjivar
Gashimov
Striking3.4 / 0.0Volume2.9 / 0.0Grappling4.6 / 0.0Wrestling3.2 / 0.0Submission5.0 / 0.0Pressure6.6 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
4.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
2.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Menjivar
Strike Zones
Gashimov
Menjivar
Attacking
3HEAD1BODY2LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD0BODY1LEGS4 absorbed
Gashimov
Attacking
3HEAD0BODY1LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD1BODY2LEGS6 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Menjivar targets the head (50% of attacks) — Gashimov absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Gashimov targets the head (75% of attacks) — Menjivar absorbs 75% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Menjivar
RND
Gashimov
0/0R00/0

Menjivar · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0105.5L5.0W4.5W5.0W5.5L5.0W1.5L5.5L5.5L2004-062012-022013-022014-03
WinLossTrend

Gashimov · QOF Timeline

Avg: 2.1
0101.5L2.8L2012-112013-05
WinLossTrend

Menjivar · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Hatsu HiokiRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kim vs Hathaway · 2014-03
L · Dec · R3
Wilson ReisRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 165: Jones vs Gustafsson · 2013-09
L · Sub · R1
Urijah FaberRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 157: Rousey vs Carmouche · 2013-02
W · Sub · R1
Azamat GashimovRating 5
Submission
UFC 154: St-Pierre vs Condit · 2012-11
L · Dec · R3
Mike EastonRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 148: Silva vs Sonnen 2 · 2012-07

Gashimov · Last 2

L · KO · R2
John LinekerRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC on FX: Belfort vs. Rockhold · 2013-05
L · Sub · R1
Ivan MenjivarRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 154: St-Pierre vs Condit · 2012-11

News & Media

Ivan Menjivar · Azamat Gashimov
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