UFC 89: Bisping vs Leben
Birmingham, United Kingdom
18 Oct 2008
Lightweight
VS
95%
Miller
5%
Baron
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 3:19
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Miller
Miller is a strong favourite at 95% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 41 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Miller has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 45 points.
Striking split: Miller throws more volume but Baron connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Miller's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Miller
Baron
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'6"
71"
Reach
42+
Age
53
Southpaw
Stance
Switch
Miller
Baron
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
43.5
2.5
51.5
Performance Avg
0.0
45
Quality of Victory
0
28
Momentum Score
0
Miller
Baron
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
0.1
41%
Strike Accuracy
50%
3.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
6 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
0
0
Body
1
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance1
0Clinch0
2Ground0
Miller
Baron
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.0
Sub Attempts / fight
—
4.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
3.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Miller
Baron
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
88
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
3
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
18 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
47/58 fights
Chin rating based on
1/21 fights
Miller
Baron
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
28
0
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R3
Miller
Baron
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
71%
0%
6
KO / TKO Wins
0
14
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Miller
Baron
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
4.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
MillerBaron
Strike Zones
Miller
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedBaron
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Miller targets the head (67% of attacks) — Baron absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Baron targets the body (100% of attacks) — Miller absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Miller
RND
Baron
0/0R00/0
Miller · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Miller · Last 5
W · Sub · R1
Jared GordonRating 5.4Submission
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L · Dec · R3
Chase HooperRating 6.3Decision
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W · Sub · R1
Damon JacksonRating 5.3Submission
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
King GreenRating 6.2Decision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · Sub · R3
Gabriel BenitezRating 5.7Submission
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · 2024-01
Baron · Last 1
L · Sub · R3
Jim MillerRating 4.4Submission
UFC 89: Bisping vs Leben · 2008-10
