UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates
Kansas City, USA
26 Apr 2025
Middleweight
VS
48%
Pereira
52%
Magomedov
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Magomedov
This is a genuine toss-up — Pereira at 48% vs Magomedov at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Pereira throws more volume but Magomedov connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Pereira's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Magomedov has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Pereira
Magomedov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'2"
73"
Reach
+78"
32+
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Pereira
Magomedov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
47.1
50.4
50.5
Performance Avg
46.1
40
Quality of Victory
39
39
Momentum Score
63
Pereira
Magomedov
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
0.9
53%
Strike Accuracy
53%
3.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.6
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
20
Head
29
15
Body
6
6
Leg
1
RangeRange
40Distance35
1Clinch1
0Ground0
Pereira
Magomedov
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.6
/ 10
3.2
/ 10
2.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.2
3.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.5
3
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Pereira
Magomedov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
64
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/46 fights
Chin rating based on
8/35 fights
Pereira
Magomedov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
39
63
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R5
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
Pereira
Magomedov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
50%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
3
Submission Wins
1
5
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Pereira
Magomedov
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.6
3.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.2
2.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.2
3.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.2
5.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.1
PereiraMagomedov
Strike Zones
Pereira
Attacking
41 landedAbsorbing
36 absorbedMagomedov
Attacking
36 landedAbsorbing
41 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Pereira targets the head (49% of attacks) — Magomedov absorbs 49% of strikes there
🎯Magomedov targets the head (81% of attacks) — Pereira absorbs 81% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Pereira
RND
Magomedov
0/0R00/0
Pereira · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Magomedov · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Pereira · Last 5
Upcoming
Shara MagomedovUFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · 2026-06
W · Dec · R3
Zach ReeseRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
L · KO · R1
Kyle DaukausRating 2.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Abus MagomedovRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
L · KO · R5
Anthony HernandezRating 5.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10
Magomedov · Last 5
Upcoming
Michal OleksiejczukUFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · 2026-06
L · Sub · R2
Joe PyferRating 4.8Submission
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
Michel PereiraRating 5.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
W · Sub · R3
Brunno FerreiraRating 7.1Submission
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
W · Dec · R3
Warlley AlvesRating 4.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy · 2024-05

