METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates
Kansas City, USA
26 Apr 2025
Middleweight
VS
46%
Pereira
54%
Magomedov
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Abus MagomedovwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Michel Pereira · UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Magomedov
→
Actual result
Magomedov wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Pereira at 46% vs Magomedov at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Pereira's chin rating of 48 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Magomedov has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
PereiraMagomedov
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Pereira
Magomedov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'2"
73"
Reach
+78"
32+
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Pereira
Magomedov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
46.0
53.5
48.9
Performance Avg
50.1
40
Quality of Victory
42
39
Momentum Score
63
Pereira
Magomedov
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.3
/ 10
3.3
/ 10
5.4
Style: Pressure
6.1
5.3
Style: Volume
4.5
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
20
Head
29
15
Body
6
6
Leg
1
RangeRange
40Distance35
1Clinch1
0Ground0
Pereira
Magomedov
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.6
/ 10
4.2
/ 10
2.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.9
3.0
Submission Style (/10)
4.0
3
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Pereira
Magomedov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
48
64
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
7 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/46 fights
Chin rating based on
9/35 fights
Pereira
Magomedov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
39
63
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R5
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
Pereira
Magomedov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
60%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
3
Submission Wins
2
5
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Pereira
Magomedov
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.3
3.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.2
2.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.9
3.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.0
5.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.1
5.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.5
PereiraMagomedov
Strike Zones
Pereira
Attacking
41 landedAbsorbing
36 absorbedMagomedov
Attacking
36 landedAbsorbing
41 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Pereira targets the head (49% of attacks) — Magomedov absorbs 49% of strikes there
🎯Magomedov targets the head (81% of attacks) — Pereira absorbs 81% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Pereira
RND
Magomedov
0/0R00/0
Pereira · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Shara MagomedovDecision
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · 2026-06
W · Dec · R3
Zach ReeseDecision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
L · KO · R1
Kyle DaukausKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Abus MagomedovDecision
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
L · KO · R5
Anthony HernandezKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10
Magomedov · Last 5
Upcoming
Cam RowstonUFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev · 2026-10
W · Sub · R1
Michal OleksiejczukSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · 2026-06
L · Sub · R2
Joe PyferSubmission
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
Michel PereiraDecision
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
W · Sub · R3
Brunno FerreiraSubmission
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10