UFC 226: Miocic vs. Cormier
Las Vegas, USA
7 Jul 2018
Heavyweight
VS
42%
Ngannou
58%
Lewis
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
FN
Francis Ngannou
"The Predator"
17 – 3
6'4"83" reachOrthodox39 yrs6-fight win streakKnockout Artist
CFR 43
Derrick
Derrick Lewis
"The Black Beast"
29 – 13
Knockout Artist41 yrsOrthodox79" reach6'3"
CFR 59

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Lewis

This is a genuine toss-up — Ngannou at 42% vs Lewis at 58% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Lewis has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Lewis has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Ngannou
Lewis
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'3"
83"+
Reach
79"
39+
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Ngannou
Lewis
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
43.0
59.2
70.4
Performance Avg
57.5
60
Quality of Victory
53
100
Momentum Score
84
Ngannou
Lewis
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.3
46%
Strike Accuracy
56%
9.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
9.3
9 KOs
KO Finishes
16 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
0
2
Body
5
1
Leg
6
RangeRange
3Distance9
1Clinch2
0Ground0
Ngannou
Lewis
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
0.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.5
0.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Ngannou
Lewis
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
96
0
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
8
0
Sub Losses
2
—
KO round context
Avg R2.1 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/20 fights
Chin rating based on
32/42 fights
Ngannou
Lewis
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
84
6-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
Upcoming
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R5
Ngannou
Lewis
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
83%
80%
9
KO / TKO Wins
16
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Ngannou
Lewis
Striking9.2 / 9.3Volume2.4 / 2.9Grappling0.9 / 0.5Wrestling0.6 / 0.3Submission0.8 / 0.0Pressure8.4 / 7.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
9.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
9.3
0.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.5
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.3
0.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.5
2.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.9
Ngannou
Strike Zones
Lewis
Ngannou
Attacking
1HEAD2BODY1LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD5BODY6LEGS11 absorbed
Lewis
Attacking
0HEAD5BODY6LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD2BODY1LEGS4 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Ngannou targets the body (50% of attacks) — Lewis absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Lewis targets the legs (55% of attacks) — Ngannou absorbs 55% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Ngannou
RND
Lewis
0/0R00/0

Ngannou · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.6
0105.2W5.2W5.0W5.0W5.7W5.0W6.6L6.7L5.9W5.0W5.0W6.1W6.2W6.2W2015-122017-012018-112021-032022-01
WinLossTrend

Lewis · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.0W5.0W1.5L5.2W2.8L5.5W5.0W5.0W4.5W5.4W5.1W3.4L5.9W4.9W6.8W2.1L2.1L4.5W4.5W5.1W6.1W4.5L5.3W3.2L2.7L2.0L5.6W7.3L5.6W6.2W4.3L2014-042016-072019-032022-072026-01
WinLossTrend

Ngannou · Last 5

W · Dec · R5
Ciryl GaneRating 6.2
Decision
UFC 270: Ngannou vs. Gane · 2022-01
W · KO · R2
Stipe MiocicRating 6.2
KO/TKO
UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2021-03
W · KO · R1
Jairzinho RozenstruikRating 6.1
KO/TKO
UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje · 2020-05
W · KO · R1
Junior Dos SantosRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos · 2019-06
W · KO · R1
Cain VelasquezRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez · 2019-02

Lewis · Last 5

Upcoming
Josh Hokit
UFC Freedom 250 · 2026-06
L · KO · R2
Waldo Cortes AcostaRating 4.3
KO/TKO
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
W · KO · R1
Tallison TeixeiraRating 6.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
W · KO · R3
Rodrigo NascimentoRating 5.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05
L · Dec · R5
Jailton AlmeidaRating 7.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis · 2023-11

News & Media

Francis Ngannou · Derrick Lewis
← Back to fights