UFC 167: St-Pierre vs Hendricks
Las Vegas, USA
16 Nov 2013
Welterweight
VS
51%
Ebersole
49%
Story
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
BE
Brian Ebersole
"Bad Boy"
51 – 18
6'0"73" reachSouthpaw45 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 17
RS
Rick Story
"The Horror"
19 – 9
Well-Rounded41 yrsSouthpaw71" reach5'9"
CFR 17

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Ebersole

This is a genuine toss-up — Ebersole at 51% vs Story at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Story throws more volume but Ebersole connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Story has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Ebersole
Story
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'9"
73"+
Reach
71"
45
Age
+41
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Ebersole
Story
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.4
17.0
44.2
Performance Avg
46.0
32
Quality of Victory
35
75
Momentum Score
65
Ebersole
Story
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.2
50%
Strike Accuracy
42%
3.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.9
1 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
14
2
Body
8
1
Leg
4
RangeRange
11Distance19
2Clinch0
0Ground7
Ebersole
Story
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
1.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.9
1.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Ebersole
Story
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
56
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/69 fights
Chin rating based on
19/28 fights
Ebersole
Story
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
75
65
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Ebersole
Story
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
20%
33%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
2
4
Decision Wins
8

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Ebersole
Story
Striking3.3 / 2.9Volume7.7 / 6.6Grappling1.9 / 2.9Wrestling1.3 / 2.0Submission0.0 / 1.7Pressure3.3 / 4.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.9
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.9
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.7
3.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.2
7.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.6
Ebersole
Strike Zones
Story
Ebersole
Attacking
10HEAD2BODY1LEGS13 landed
Absorbing
14HEAD8BODY4LEGS26 absorbed
Story
Attacking
14HEAD8BODY4LEGS26 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD2BODY1LEGS13 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Ebersole targets the head (77% of attacks) — Story absorbs 77% of strikes there
🎯Story targets the head (54% of attacks) — Ebersole absorbs 54% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Ebersole
RND
Story
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Ebersole · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.4
0104.5W5.0W4.5W4.5W5.5L5.5L4.5W1.5L2011-022011-122012-072014-092015-06
WinLossTrend

Story · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.5L5.2W4.5W4.5W5.2W4.5W4.5W5.5L5.5L4.5W1.5L5.0W5.5L4.5W5.8L5.2W5.6W4.5W2.8L2009-062010-122012-102014-072016-08
WinLossTrend

Ebersole · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Omari AkhmedovRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Boetsch vs Henderson · 2015-06
W · Dec · R3
John HowardRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 178: Johnson vs Cariaso · 2014-09
L · Dec · R3
Rick StoryRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 167: St-Pierre vs Hendricks · 2013-11
L · Dec · R3
James HeadRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 149: Faber vs Barao · 2012-07
W · Dec · R3
TJ WaldburgerRating 4.5
Decision
UFC on FX: Maynard vs Guida · 2012-06

Story · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Donald CerroneRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2 · 2016-08
W · Dec · R3
Tarec SaffiedineRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Garbrandt · 2016-05
W · Dec · R5
Gunnar NelsonRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs Story · 2014-10
W · Sub · R2
Leonardo MafraRating 5.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Miller · 2014-07
L · Dec · R3
Kelvin GastelumRating 5.8
Decision
UFC 171: Hendricks vs Lawler · 2014-03

News & Media

Brian Ebersole · Rick Story
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