METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira
Las Vegas, USA
28 Jun 2025
Welterweight
VS
37%
Price
63%
Smith
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 4:03
★ Official Result
Jacobe SmithwinsSubmissionR2 · 4:03
def. Niko Price · UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Smith
→
Actual result
Smith wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Smith holds a meaningful edge at 63% per the CFR ratings — but Price has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 33 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Price's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
PriceSmith
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Price
Smith
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'10"
76"+
Reach
72"
36
Age
+30
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Price
Smith
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
48.4
81.3
46.0
Performance Avg
73.9
49
Quality of Victory
57
65
Momentum Score
100
Price
Smith
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.8
/ 10
8.7
/ 10
6.5
Style: Pressure
10.0
2.8
Style: Volume
2.0
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
12
1
Body
1
5
Leg
0
RangeRange
10Distance5
2Clinch1
3Ground7
Price
Smith
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.6
/ 10
2.7
/ 10
1.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.9
2.5
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
2
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Price
Smith
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
100
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
5
KO/TKO Losses
0
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.6 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/27 fights
Chin rating based on
3/12 fights
Price
Smith
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
100
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
Price
Smith
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
100%
4
KO / TKO Wins
2
2
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Price
Smith
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.7
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.7
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.9
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
10.0
2.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.0
PriceSmith
Strike Zones
Price
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedSmith
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Price targets the head (60% of attacks) — Smith absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Smith targets the head (92% of attacks) — Price absorbs 92% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Price
RND
Smith
0/0R00/0
Price · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Michael ChiesaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
L · KO · R1
Nikolay VeretennikovKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
L · Sub · R2
Jacobe SmithSubmission
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
L · Dec · R3
Themba GorimboDecision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10
W · Dec · R3
Alex MoronoDecision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06
Smith · Last 3
W · KO · R1
Josiah HarrellKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
W · Sub · R2
Niko PriceSubmission
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
W · KO · R1
Preston ParsonsKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01