METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC on FOX: Gustafsson vs Johnson
Stockholm, Sweden
24 Jan 2015
Featherweight
VS
20%
Ogle
80%
Amirkhani
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:08
★ Official Result
Makwan AmirkhaniwinsKO/TKOR1 · 0:08
def. Andy Ogle · UFC on FOX: Gustafsson vs Johnson
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Amirkhani
→
Actual result
Amirkhani wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Amirkhani is a strong favourite at 80% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 27 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Amirkhani has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 21 points.
Ogle has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Ogle's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Amirkhani has a chin rating of 16 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
OgleAmirkhani
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Ogle
Amirkhani
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'10"
69"
Reach
+72"
37
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Ogle
Amirkhani
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
8.8
36.2
21.7
Performance Avg
47.6
25
Quality of Victory
46
30
Momentum Score
56
Ogle
Amirkhani
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
0.5
50%
Strike Accuracy
46%
0.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.4
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
5
0
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance2
0Clinch0
0Ground4
Ogle
Amirkhani
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.3
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Ogle
Amirkhani
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
16
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.3 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/15 fights
Chin rating based on
14/26 fights
Ogle
Amirkhani
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
30
56
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Ogle
Amirkhani
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
71%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
4
1
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ogle
Amirkhani
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.4
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.3
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.7
0.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.5
8.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.3
OgleAmirkhani
Strike Zones
Ogle
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedAmirkhani
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Amirkhani targets the head (83% of attacks) — Ogle absorbs 83% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ogle
RND
Amirkhani
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Ogle · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Amirkhani · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Ogle · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Makwan AmirkhaniRating 1.6KO/TKO
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L · Dec · R3
Maximo BlancoRating 5.5Decision
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L · Sub · R3
Charles OliveiraRating 5.4Submission
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L · Dec · R3
Cole MillerRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Munoz · 2013-10
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Amirkhani · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Jack ShoreRating 3.5Submission
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · 2023-03
L · KO · R2
Jonathan PearceRating 3.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall · 2022-07
W · Sub · R1
Mike GrundyRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall · 2022-03
L · KO · R2
Lerone MurphyRating 4.3KO/TKO
UFC 267: Blachowicz vs. Teixeira · 2021-10
L · Dec · R3
Kamuela KirkRating 5.5Decision
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