METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC on FOX: Gustafsson vs Johnson
Stockholm, Sweden
24 Jan 2015
Featherweight
VS
20%
Ogle
80%
Amirkhani
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:08
★ Official Result
Makwan AmirkhaniwinsKO/TKOR1 · 0:08
def. Andy Ogle · UFC on FOX: Gustafsson vs Johnson
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Amirkhani
→
Actual result
Amirkhani wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Amirkhani is a strong favourite at 80% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 27 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Amirkhani has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 21 points.
Risk flags
Ogle's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Amirkhani has a chin rating of 16 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
OgleAmirkhani
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Ogle
Amirkhani
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'10"
69"
Reach
+72"
37
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Ogle
Amirkhani
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
8.8
36.2
21.7
Performance Avg
47.6
25
Quality of Victory
46
30
Momentum Score
56
Ogle
Amirkhani
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.3
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
0.5
Style: Pressure
6.5
8.3
Style: Volume
3.3
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
5
0
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance2
0Clinch0
0Ground4
Ogle
Amirkhani
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
5.3
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
5.7
0
Submission wins
4
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Ogle
Amirkhani
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
16
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.3 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/15 fights
Chin rating based on
14/26 fights
Ogle
Amirkhani
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
30
56
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Ogle
Amirkhani
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
71%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
4
1
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ogle
Amirkhani
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.4
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.3
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.7
0.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.5
8.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.3
OgleAmirkhani
Strike Zones
Ogle
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedAmirkhani
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Amirkhani targets the head (83% of attacks) — Ogle absorbs 83% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ogle
RND
Amirkhani
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Ogle · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Makwan AmirkhaniKO/TKO
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L · Dec · R3
Cole MillerDecision
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W · Dec · R3
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Amirkhani · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Jack ShoreSubmission
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Jonathan PearceKO/TKO
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Mike GrundySubmission
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L · KO · R2
Lerone MurphyKO/TKO
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L · Dec · R3
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