UFC 121: Lesnar vs Velasquez
Anaheim, USA
23 Oct 2010
Heavyweight
VS
93%
Madsen
7%
Yvel
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:48
JM
Jon Madsen
8 – 2
6'0"72" reachOrthodox46 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 21
GY
Gilbert Yvel
"The Hurricane"
39 – 16
Well-Rounded3-fight slide49 yrsOrthodox77" reach6'2"
CFR 2

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Madsen

Madsen is a strong favourite at 93% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 19 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Madsen has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 34 points.

Madsen has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Yvel has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Madsen
Yvel
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'2"
72"
Reach
+77"
46+
Age
49
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Madsen
Yvel
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.5
1.5
52.2
Performance Avg
0.0
34
Quality of Victory
0
84
Momentum Score
0
Madsen
Yvel
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
0.1
37%
Strike Accuracy
15%
4.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
18
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
0Clinch0
18Ground0
Madsen
Yvel
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.8
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Madsen
Yvel
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
54
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/10 fights
Chin rating based on
3/55 fights
Madsen
Yvel
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
84
0
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · R2
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Madsen
Yvel
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Madsen
Yvel
Striking4.1 / 0.0Volume7.6 / 0.0Grappling1.8 / 0.0Wrestling1.3 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure4.2 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
7.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Madsen
Strike Zones
Yvel
Madsen
Attacking
18HEAD0BODY0LEGS18 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Yvel
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
18HEAD0BODY0LEGS18 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Madsen targets the head (100% of attacks) — Yvel absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Madsen
RND
Yvel
0/0R00/0

Madsen · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0104.5W4.5W4.5W5.0W4.8L2009-122010-042010-072010-102011-03
WinLossTrend

Yvel · QOF Timeline

Avg: 2.8
0101.5L5.5L1.5L2010-012010-062010-10
WinLossTrend

Madsen · Last 5

L · R2
Mike RussowRating 4.8
UFC Fight Night: Nogueira vs Davis · 2011-03
W · KO · R1
Gilbert YvelRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 121: Lesnar vs Velasquez · 2010-10
W · Dec · R3
Karlos VemolaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 116: Lesnar vs Carwin · 2010-07
W · Dec · R3
Mostapha Al-TurkRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 112: Invincible · 2010-04
W · Dec · R3
Justin WrenRating 4.5
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Heavyweights Finale · 2009-12

Yvel · Last 3

L · KO · R1
Jon MadsenRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 121: Lesnar vs Velasquez · 2010-10
L · Dec · R3
Ben RothwellRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 115: Liddell vs Franklin · 2010-06
L · KO · R1
Junior Dos SantosRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 108: Evans vs Silva · 2010-01

News & Media

Jon Madsen · Gilbert Yvel
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