UFC 158: St-Pierre vs Diaz
Montreal, Canada
16 Mar 2013
Bantamweight
VS
68%
Dillashaw
32%
Tamura
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 0:26
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Dillashaw
Dillashaw holds a meaningful edge at 68% per the CFR ratings — but Tamura has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 19 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Dillashaw has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Dillashaw's chin rating of 30 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Tamura has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Dillashaw
Tamura
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"+
Height
5'5"
67"+
Reach
63"
40+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Dillashaw
Tamura
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
36.6
17.3
62.3
Performance Avg
46.3
56
Quality of Victory
55
100
Momentum Score
35
Dillashaw
Tamura
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
0.1
45%
Strike Accuracy
25%
6.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
7 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance0
0Clinch0
7Ground0
Dillashaw
Tamura
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.5
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.8
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Dillashaw
Tamura
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
30
56
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/23 fights
Chin rating based on
3/18 fights
Dillashaw
Tamura
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
35
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
Dillashaw
Tamura
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
62%
100%
7
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Dillashaw
Tamura
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
4.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
DillashawTamura
Strike Zones
Dillashaw
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedTamura
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Dillashaw targets the head (100% of attacks) — Tamura absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Dillashaw
RND
Tamura
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Dillashaw · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Tamura · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.6WinLossTrend
Dillashaw · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Aljamain SterlingRating 3.1KO/TKO
UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev · 2022-10
W · Dec · R5
Cory SandhagenRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Dillashaw · 2021-07
L · KO · R1
Henry CejudoRating 3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw · 2019-01
W · KO · R1
Cody GarbrandtRating 6.1KO/TKO
UFC 227: Dillashaw vs. Garbrandt 2 · 2018-08
W · KO · R2
Cody GarbrandtRating 6.2KO/TKO
UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre · 2017-11
Tamura · Last 3
L · KO · R2
TJ DillashawRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 158: St-Pierre vs Diaz · 2013-03
L · KO · R2
Raphael AssuncaoRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC on FUEL TV: Munoz vs Weidman · 2012-07
W · KO · R2
Zhang TiequanRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 144: Edgar vs Henderson · 2012-02