UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Teixeira
Stockholm, Sweden
28 May 2017
Welterweight
VS
49%
Musoke
51%
Velickovic
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 4:37
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Velickovic
This is a genuine toss-up — Musoke at 49% vs Velickovic at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Musoke has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Musoke
Velickovic
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
6'0"
75"
Reach
+76"
40
Age
+37
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Musoke
Velickovic
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.7
16.5
40.8
Performance Avg
38.5
35
Quality of Victory
38
53
Momentum Score
56
Musoke
Velickovic
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
0.8
33%
Strike Accuracy
31%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.8
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
18
Head
22
1
Body
0
1
Leg
3
RangeRange
20Distance22
0Clinch2
0Ground1
Musoke
Velickovic
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
4.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
3.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Musoke
Velickovic
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
94
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/18 fights
Chin rating based on
6/21 fights
Musoke
Velickovic
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
53
56
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Musoke
Velickovic
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Musoke
Velickovic
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.8
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
MusokeVelickovic
Strike Zones
Musoke
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
25 absorbedVelickovic
Attacking
25 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Musoke targets the head (90% of attacks) — Velickovic absorbs 90% of strikes there
🎯Velickovic targets the head (88% of attacks) — Musoke absorbs 88% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Musoke
RND
Velickovic
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Musoke · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Velickovic · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Musoke · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Bojan VelickovicRating 4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Teixeira · 2017-05
L · Dec · R3
Albert TumenovRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Gustafsson vs Johnson · 2015-01
W · Dec · R3
Alexander YakovlevRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs Story · 2014-10
L · Dec · R3
Kelvin GastelumRating 5.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs Stephens · 2014-06
W · Dec · R3
Viscardi AndradeRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Mousasi · 2014-02
Velickovic · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Jake MatthewsRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Tybura · 2017-11
L · Dec · R3
Darren TillRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Struve · 2017-09
W · KO · R3
Nicholas MusokeRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Teixeira · 2017-05
L · Dec · R3
Sultan AlievRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson · 2016-12
Upcoming
Michael GravesDecision
UFC 201: Lawler vs. Woodley · 2016-07