UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Weidman
Boston, USA
18 Oct 2019
Featherweight
VS
18%
Bochniak
82%
Woodson
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Woodson
Woodson is a strong favourite at 82% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 44 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Woodson has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.
Woodson has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Woodson has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Bochniak
Woodson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+6'2"
70"
Reach
+78"
39
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Bochniak
Woodson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
12.0
56.1
26.4
Performance Avg
52.1
25
Quality of Victory
35
50
Momentum Score
84
Bochniak
Woodson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
2.4
30%
Strike Accuracy
47%
0.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.4
0 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
38
7
Body
5
2
Leg
3
RangeRange
13Distance44
3Clinch2
0Ground0
Bochniak
Woodson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
1.7
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.2
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Bochniak
Woodson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
90
66
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/13 fights
Chin rating based on
10/15 fights
Bochniak
Woodson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
84
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Bochniak
Woodson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
29%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Bochniak
Woodson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.4
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.7
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.3
8.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.3
BochniakWoodson
Strike Zones
Bochniak
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
46 absorbedWoodson
Attacking
46 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Bochniak targets the head (44% of attacks) — Woodson absorbs 44% of strikes there
🎯Woodson targets the head (83% of attacks) — Bochniak absorbs 83% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Bochniak
RND
Woodson
0/0R00/0
Bochniak · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Woodson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Bochniak · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Sean WoodsonRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Weidman · 2019-10
L · Dec · R3
Hakeem DawoduRating 5.6Decision
UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega · 2018-12
L · Dec · R3
Zabit MagomedsharipovRating 5.5Decision
UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta · 2018-04
W · Dec · R3
Brandon DavisRating 4.5Decision
UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2018-01
L · Dec · R3
Jeremy KennedyRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Gastelum · 2017-07
Woodson · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Dan IgeRating 4.7KO/TKO
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · KO · R1
Fernando PadillaRating 6.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Alex CaceresRating 4.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05
W · Dec · R3
Charles JourdainRating 5.3Decision
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01
W · Dec · R3
Dennis BuzukjaRating 5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font · 2023-08
