UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Cannonier
Copenhagen, Denmark
28 Sept 2019
Welterweight
VS
58%
Dalby
42%
Oliveira
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Dalby
This is a genuine toss-up — Dalby at 58% vs Oliveira at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Oliveira has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.
Striking split: Dalby throws more volume but Oliveira connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Oliveira has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Dalby
Oliveira
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
5'11"
74"
Reach
+76"
41
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Dalby
Oliveira
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
41.4
29.9
41.9
Performance Avg
46.5
29
Quality of Victory
43
45
Momentum Score
100
Dalby
Oliveira
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
1.1
48%
Strike Accuracy
54%
2.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.7
1 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
0
0
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance0
0Clinch0
11Ground0
Dalby
Oliveira
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.1
/ 10
3.0
/ 10
1.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.1
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.7
0
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Dalby
Oliveira
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
70
0
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
5
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/30 fights
Chin rating based on
22/34 fights
Dalby
Oliveira
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
100
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Dalby
Oliveira
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
13%
64%
1
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
3
7
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Dalby
Oliveira
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.7
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.0
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.7
2.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.0
8.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.0
DalbyOliveira
Strike Zones
Dalby
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedOliveira
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Dalby targets the head (92% of attacks) — Oliveira absorbs 92% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Dalby
RND
Oliveira
0/0R00/0
Dalby · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Oliveira · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Dalby · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Saygid IzagakhmaevRating 4.5Decision
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