★ Championship Bout · Bantamweight
UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2
Los Angeles, USA
4 Jun 2016
Bantamweight
VS
60%
Cruz
40%
Faber
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Cruz
Cruz holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Faber has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Cruz throws more volume but Faber connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Cruz's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Faber has a chin rating of 46 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Cruz
Faber
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'6"
68"+
Reach
67"
41+
Age
47
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Cruz
Faber
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
31.2
20.8
50.3
Performance Avg
49.4
37
Quality of Victory
42
100
Momentum Score
100
Cruz
Faber
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
0.9
39%
Strike Accuracy
46%
2.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.1
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
6
1
Body
1
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
15Distance5
2Clinch0
0Ground2
Cruz
Faber
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.2
1.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Cruz
Faber
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
46
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/28 fights
Chin rating based on
18/46 fights
Cruz
Faber
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
100
L · KO · R4
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
Cruz
Faber
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
14%
64%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
6
6
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Cruz
Faber
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.1
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.5
3.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.3
8.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.1
CruzFaber
Strike Zones
Cruz
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedFaber
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Cruz targets the head (82% of attacks) — Faber absorbs 82% of strikes there
🎯Faber targets the head (86% of attacks) — Cruz absorbs 86% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Cruz
RND
Faber
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Cruz · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Faber · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Cruz · Last 5
L · KO · R4
Marlon VeraRating 4.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz · 2022-08
W · Dec · R3
Pedro MunhozRating 5Decision
UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier · 2021-12
W · Dec · R3
Casey KenneyRating 4.5Decision
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya · 2021-03
L · KO · R2
Henry CejudoRating 3.6KO/TKO
UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje · 2020-05
L · Dec · R5
Cody GarbrandtRating 6.6Decision
UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey · 2016-12
Faber · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Petr YanRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington · 2019-12
W · KO · R1
Ricky SimonRating 5.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs. Ladd · 2019-07
W · Dec · R3
Brad PickettRating 4.5Decision
UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson · 2016-12
L · Dec · R3
Jimmie RiveraRating 5.5Decision
UFC 203: Miocic vs. Overeem · 2016-09
L · Dec · R5
Dominick CruzRating 5.5Decision
UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2 · 2016-06