METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2
Las Vegas, USA
7 Mar 2026
Middleweight
VS
62%
Johnson
38%
Brundage
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Donte JohnsonwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Cody Brundage · UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Johnson
→
Actual result
Johnson wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Johnson holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Brundage has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 29 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Brundage has a chin rating of 24 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
JohnsonBrundage
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Johnson
Brundage
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+6'0"
74"+
Reach
72"
27+
Age
32
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Johnson
Brundage
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
73.9
45.2
66.9
Performance Avg
49.0
45
Quality of Victory
53
100
Momentum Score
26
Johnson
Brundage
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.3
/ 10
7.5
/ 10
7.7
Style: Pressure
7.1
4.7
Style: Volume
0.9
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
14
3
Body
0
4
Leg
6
RangeRange
22Distance20
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Johnson
Brundage
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.5
/ 10
1.3
/ 10
2.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.9
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
1.7
1
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Johnson
Brundage
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
100
24
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
2
—
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/8 fights
Chin rating based on
16/21 fights
Johnson
Brundage
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
26
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Johnson
Brundage
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
83%
1
KO / TKO Wins
4
1
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Johnson
Brundage
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.5
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.3
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.9
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.7
7.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.1
4.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.9
JohnsonBrundage
Strike Zones
Johnson
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedBrundage
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Johnson targets the head (68% of attacks) — Brundage absorbs 68% of strikes there
🎯Brundage targets the head (70% of attacks) — Johnson absorbs 70% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Johnson
RND
Brundage
0/0R00/0
Johnson · Last 3
W · KO · R1
Eric McConicoKO/TKO
UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry · 2026-08
W · Dec · R3
Cody BrundageDecision
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
W · Sub · R2
Sedriques DumasSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama · 2025-11
Brundage · Last 5
W · KO · R2
Andre PetroskiKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Donte JohnsonDecision
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
L · KO · R2
Cam RowstonKO/TKO
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · 2026-01
L · Dec · R3
Eric McConicoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
Upcoming
Mansur Abdul-MalikDecision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06