UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2
Las Vegas, USA
7 Mar 2026
Middleweight
VS
61%
Johnson
39%
Brundage
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Johnson
Johnson holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Brundage has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 24 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Brundage has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.
Brundage has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Brundage has a chin rating of 24 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Johnson
Brundage
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+6'0"
74"+
Reach
72"
27+
Age
32
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Johnson
Brundage
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
69.5
45.2
62.3
Performance Avg
49.0
37
Quality of Victory
53
100
Momentum Score
26
Johnson
Brundage
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.5
44%
Strike Accuracy
53%
2.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.5
0 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
14
3
Body
0
4
Leg
6
RangeRange
22Distance20
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Johnson
Brundage
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
5.2
/ 10
1.3
/ 10
3.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.9
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.7
1
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Johnson
Brundage
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
100
24
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
2
—
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
2/8 fights
Chin rating based on
16/21 fights
Johnson
Brundage
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
26
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Johnson
Brundage
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
83%
0
KO / TKO Wins
4
1
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Johnson
Brundage
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.5
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.3
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.9
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.7
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.1
6.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.9
JohnsonBrundage
Strike Zones
Johnson
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedBrundage
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Johnson targets the head (68% of attacks) — Brundage absorbs 68% of strikes there
🎯Brundage targets the head (70% of attacks) — Johnson absorbs 70% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Johnson
RND
Brundage
0/0R00/0
Johnson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Brundage · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Johnson · Last 2
W · Dec · R3
Cody BrundageRating 5Decision
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
W · Sub · R2
Sedriques DumasRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama · 2025-11
Brundage · Last 5
W · KO · R2
Andre PetroskiRating 5.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Donte JohnsonRating 7.2Decision
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
L · KO · R2
Cam RowstonRating 4.7KO/TKO
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · 2026-01
L · Dec · R3
Eric McConicoRating 5.5Decision
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