The Ultimate Fighter: Tournament of Champions Finale
Las Vegas, USA
3 Dec 2016
Light Heavyweight
VS
43%
Cutelaba
57%
Cannonier
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Cannonier
This is a genuine toss-up — Cutelaba at 43% vs Cannonier at 57% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Cutelaba throws more volume but Cannonier connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Cutelaba's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Cannonier has a chin rating of 22 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Cutelaba
Cannonier
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'11"
75"
Reach
+77"
32+
Age
42
Southpaw
Stance
Switch
Cutelaba
Cannonier
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
40.5
54.3
47.1
Performance Avg
49.3
47
Quality of Victory
46
26
Momentum Score
82
Cutelaba
Cannonier
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
1.3
45%
Strike Accuracy
56%
5.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.5
4 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
23
3
Body
2
2
Leg
2
RangeRange
11Distance20
2Clinch7
0Ground0
Cutelaba
Cannonier
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.6
/ 10
0.9
/ 10
1.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.6
2.2
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Cutelaba
Cannonier
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
22
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
3
4
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
7 fights ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/31 fights
Chin rating based on
20/27 fights
Cutelaba
Cannonier
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
26
82
Upcoming
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R4
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R4
W · Dec · R5
Cutelaba
Cannonier
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
64%
4
KO / TKO Wins
7
2
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Cutelaba
Cannonier
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.5
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.9
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
2.2
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.1
3.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.0
CutelabaCannonier
Strike Zones
Cutelaba
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
27 absorbedCannonier
Attacking
27 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Cutelaba targets the head (62% of attacks) — Cannonier absorbs 62% of strikes there
🎯Cannonier targets the head (85% of attacks) — Cutelaba absorbs 85% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Cutelaba
RND
Cannonier
0/0R00/0
Cutelaba · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Cannonier · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Cutelaba · Last 5
Upcoming
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Cannonier · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Michael PageRating 6.3Decision
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
W · KO · R4
Gregory RodriguesRating 7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
L · Dec · R5
Caio BorralhoRating 6.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho · 2024-08
L · KO · R4
Nassourdine ImavovRating 4.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06
W · Dec · R5
Marvin VettoriRating 5.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier · 2023-06