UFC Fight Night: Rivera vs. Moraes
Utica, USA
1 Jun 2018
Featherweight
VS
86%
Arce
14%
Teymur
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 2:55
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Arce
Arce is a strong favourite at 86% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 41 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Arce has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 18 points.
Striking split: Arce throws more volume but Teymur connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Teymur has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Arce
Teymur
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'5"
70"+
Reach
69"
36+
Age
38
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Arce
Teymur
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
49.4
8.2
49.5
Performance Avg
23.0
43
Quality of Victory
25
65
Momentum Score
20
Arce
Teymur
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
0.5
36%
Strike Accuracy
43%
6.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.4
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
1
1
Body
0
0
Leg
5
RangeRange
7Distance5
2Clinch1
3Ground0
Arce
Teymur
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.1
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
1.7
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Arce
Teymur
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
52
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/25 fights
Chin rating based on
5/11 fights
Arce
Teymur
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
20
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
Arce
Teymur
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
0%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Arce
Teymur
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.4
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.6
3.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.4
ArceTeymur
Strike Zones
Arce
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTeymur
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Arce targets the head (92% of attacks) — Teymur absorbs 92% of strikes there
🎯Teymur targets the legs (83% of attacks) — Arce absorbs 83% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Arce
RND
Teymur
0/0R00/0
Arce · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Teymur · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Arce · Last 5
W · KO · R2
Herbert BurnsRating 5.6KO/TKO
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L · Dec · R3
Montel JacksonRating 6.4Decision
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11
W · Dec · R3
Daniel SantosRating 5.5Decision
UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Korean Zombie · 2022-04
L · KO · R2
Song YadongRating 4.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Rodriguez · 2021-11
W · KO · R2
Andre EwellRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Dillashaw · 2021-07
Teymur · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Chase HooperRating 2.3KO/TKO
UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington · 2019-12
W · Dec · R3
Sung Bin JoRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Smith · 2019-06
L · Sub · R2
Chris FishgoldRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Santos · 2019-02
L · Sub · R3
Julio ArceRating 4.7Submission
UFC Fight Night: Rivera vs. Moraes · 2018-06
L · Dec · R3
Danny HenryRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs. Ponzinibbio · 2017-07