UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev
Las Vegas, USA
12 Mar 2022
Middleweight
VS
36%
Lungiambula
64%
Brundage
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 3:41
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Brundage
Brundage holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Lungiambula has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 20 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Brundage has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.
Brundage has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Lungiambula's chin rating of 20 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Brundage has a chin rating of 24 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Lungiambula
Brundage
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+6'0"
76"+
Reach
72"
38
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Lungiambula
Brundage
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
25.1
45.2
33.9
Performance Avg
49.0
38
Quality of Victory
53
30
Momentum Score
26
Lungiambula
Brundage
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
1.5
47%
Strike Accuracy
53%
5.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.5
1 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
26
Head
2
3
Body
1
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
6Distance3
15Clinch1
8Ground0
Lungiambula
Brundage
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.2
/ 10
1.3
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.9
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.7
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Lungiambula
Brundage
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
20
24
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/17 fights
Chin rating based on
16/21 fights
Lungiambula
Brundage
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
30
26
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Lungiambula
Brundage
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
83%
1
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Lungiambula
Brundage
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.5
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.3
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.9
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.7
4.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.1
4.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.9
LungiambulaBrundage
Strike Zones
Lungiambula
Attacking
29 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedBrundage
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
29 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Lungiambula targets the head (90% of attacks) — Brundage absorbs 90% of strikes there
🎯Brundage targets the head (50% of attacks) — Lungiambula absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Lungiambula
RND
Brundage
0/0R00/0
Lungiambula · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Brundage · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Lungiambula · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Edmen ShahbazyanRating 4.2KO/TKO
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L · KO · R2
Punahele SorianoRating 3.7KO/TKO
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L · Sub · R1
Cody BrundageRating 2Submission
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L · Dec · R3
Marc-Andre BarriaultRating 5.5Decision
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Brundage · Last 5
W · KO · R2
Andre PetroskiRating 5.7KO/TKO
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