UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Moraga
Seattle, USA
27 Jul 2013
Bantamweight
VS
54%
Albert
46%
Meza
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 2:49
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Albert
This is a genuine toss-up — Albert at 54% vs Meza at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Albert has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 23 points.
Albert has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Albert's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Albert
Meza
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'9"
68"
Reach
+71"
39+
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Albert
Meza
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.4
13.2
44.0
Performance Avg
35.7
60
Quality of Victory
37
13
Momentum Score
26
Albert
Meza
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
3.7
0.3
51%
Strike Accuracy
37%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
0
0
Body
0
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
1Distance1
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Albert
Meza
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.9
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.2
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Albert
Meza
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
72
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
4
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/11 fights
Chin rating based on
7/32 fights
Albert
Meza
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
13
26
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Albert
Meza
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Albert
Meza
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
7.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
0.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.7
AlbertMeza
Strike Zones
Albert
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedMeza
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Albert targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Meza absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Meza targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Albert absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Albert
RND
Meza
0/0R00/0
Albert · QOF Timeline
Avg: 2.5WinLossTrend
Meza · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Albert · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Yaotzin MezaRating 2.8Submission
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Moraga · 2013-07
L · Sub · R1
Scott JorgensenRating 1.5Submission
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Diaz · 2012-12
L · Sub · R1
Erik PerezRating 1.5Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: Live Finale · 2012-06
L · Sub · R1
Ivan MenjivarRating 1.5Submission
UFC on FUEL TV: Sanchez vs Ellenberger · 2012-02
W · KO · R1
Dustin PagueRating 5KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Bisping vs Team Miller Finale · 2011-12
Meza · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Arnold AllenRating 6.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bisping · 2016-02
L · Dec · R3
Sam SiciliaRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee · 2015-07
W · Dec · R3
Damian StasiakRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gonzaga vs Cro Cop 2 · 2015-04
L · Dec · R3
Sergio PettisRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Khabilov · 2014-06
Upcoming
Chico CamusUFC on FOX: Henderson vs Thomson · 2014-01