UFC 175: Weidman vs Machida
Las Vegas, USA
5 Jul 2014
Bantamweight
VS
49%
Brimage
51%
Doane
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Doane
This is a genuine toss-up — Brimage at 49% vs Doane at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Doane has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Striking split: Brimage throws more volume but Doane connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Brimage's chin rating of 32 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Doane has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Brimage
Doane
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"
Height
+5'7"
71"+
Reach
70"
41
Age
+39
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Brimage
Doane
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.5
16.4
40.2
Performance Avg
41.9
34
Quality of Victory
45
73
Momentum Score
49
Brimage
Doane
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
1.3
37%
Strike Accuracy
43%
3.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.1
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
7
1
Body
2
7
Leg
0
RangeRange
11Distance7
0Clinch2
0Ground0
Brimage
Doane
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.4
1.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.5
1.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Brimage
Doane
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
32
60
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/14 fights
Chin rating based on
8/23 fights
Brimage
Doane
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
73
49
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Brimage
Doane
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
67%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Brimage
Doane
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.1
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
3.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.8
7.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.4
BrimageDoane
Strike Zones
Brimage
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedDoane
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Brimage targets the legs (64% of attacks) — Doane absorbs 64% of strikes there
🎯Doane targets the head (78% of attacks) — Brimage absorbs 78% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Brimage
RND
Doane
0/0R00/0
Brimage · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Doane · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.2WinLossTrend
Brimage · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Jimmie RiveraRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Leites · 2015-07
L · KO · R3
Cody GarbrandtRating 5.1KO/TKO
UFC 182: Jones vs Cormier · 2015-01
W · KO · R1
Jumabieke TuerxunRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Bisping · 2014-11
L · Dec · R3
Russell DoaneRating 5.5Decision
UFC 175: Weidman vs Machida · 2014-07
L · KO · R1
Conor McGregorRating 3.5KO/TKO
UFC on FUEL TV: Mousasi vs Latifi · 2013-04
Doane · Last 5
L · Sub · R3
Rani YahyaRating 4.4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Stephens · 2018-02
W · KO · R1
Kwan Ho KwakRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Correia · 2017-06
L · Sub · R1
Mirsad BekticRating 1.5Submission
UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson · 2016-10
L · Sub · R1
Pedro MunhozRating 2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Alvarez · 2016-07
L · Dec · R3
Jerrod SandersRating 5.5Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: American Top Team vs. Blackzilians Finale · 2015-07