★ Championship Bout · Light Heavyweight
UFC 46: Supernatural
Las Vegas, USA
31 Jan 2004
Light Heavyweight
VS
52%
Belfort
48%
Couture
Win Probability
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Belfort
This is a genuine toss-up — Belfort at 52% vs Couture at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Belfort throws more volume but Couture connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Belfort's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Couture has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Belfort
Couture
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'1"
74"
Reach
+75"
49+
Age
62
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Belfort
Couture
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.9
20.6
59.2
Performance Avg
62.4
59
Quality of Victory
60
91
Momentum Score
72
Belfort
Couture
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
0.9
50%
Strike Accuracy
61%
8.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.1
11 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
1Distance1
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Belfort
Couture
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.8
0.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.9
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Belfort
Couture
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
6
KO/TKO Losses
6
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.3 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
26/40 fights
Chin rating based on
24/30 fights
Belfort
Couture
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
91
72
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Belfort
Couture
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
87%
63%
11
KO / TKO Wins
6
2
Submission Wins
4
2
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Belfort
Couture
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.1
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.8
0.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.9
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
7.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.4
1.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.8
BelfortCouture
Strike Zones
Belfort
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedCouture
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Belfort targets the head (100% of attacks) — Couture absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Couture targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Belfort absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Belfort
RND
Couture
0/0R00/0
Belfort · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Couture · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Belfort · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Lyoto MachidaRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington · 2018-05
W · Dec · R3
Nate MarquardtRating 4.5Decision
UFC 212: Aldo vs. Holloway · 2017-06
Upcoming
Kelvin GastelumUFC Fight Night: Belfort vs. Gastelum · 2017-03
L · KO · R2
Gegard MousasiRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson · 2016-10
L · KO · R1
Jacare SouzaRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 198: Werdum vs Miocic · 2016-05
Couture · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Lyoto MachidaRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 129: St-Pierre vs Shields · 2011-04
W · Sub · R1
James ToneyRating 5Submission
UFC 118: Edgar vs Penn 2 · 2010-08
W · Sub · R2
Mark ColemanRating 5.2Submission
UFC 109: Relentless · 2010-02
W · Dec · R3
Brandon VeraRating 4.5Decision
UFC 105: Couture vs Vera · 2009-11
L · Dec · R3
Antonio Rodrigo NogueiraRating 5.5Decision
UFC 102: Couture vs Nogueira · 2009-08