UFC 164: Henderson vs Pettis 2
Milwaukee, USA
31 Aug 2013
Lightweight
VS
8%
Couture
92%
Iaquinta
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Iaquinta
Iaquinta is a strong favourite at 92% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 24 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Iaquinta has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 38 points.
Iaquinta has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Iaquinta has a chin rating of 48 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Couture
Iaquinta
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
5'10"
73"+
Reach
70"
43
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Couture
Iaquinta
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
2.1
25.8
0.0
Performance Avg
47.0
0
Quality of Victory
38
0
Momentum Score
51
Couture
Iaquinta
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.6
29%
Strike Accuracy
45%
0.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.6
0 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
21
4
Body
8
5
Leg
3
RangeRange
13Distance19
3Clinch11
0Ground2
Couture
Iaquinta
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.0
/ 10
1.3
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.9
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Couture
Iaquinta
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
48
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
2/16 fights
Chin rating based on
15/21 fights
Couture
Iaquinta
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
51
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
Couture
Iaquinta
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
44%
0
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Couture
Iaquinta
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.6
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.3
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.9
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.9
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.6
CoutureIaquinta
Strike Zones
Couture
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
32 absorbedIaquinta
Attacking
32 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Couture targets the head (44% of attacks) — Iaquinta absorbs 44% of strikes there
🎯Iaquinta targets the head (66% of attacks) — Couture absorbs 66% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Couture
RND
Iaquinta
0/0R00/0
Couture · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.2WinLossTrend
Iaquinta · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Couture · Last 2
L · Dec · R3
Al IaquintaRating 5.5Decision
UFC 164: Henderson vs Pettis 2 · 2013-08
L · KO · R2
Ross PearsonRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC on FUEL TV: Mousasi vs Latifi · 2013-04
Iaquinta · Last 5
L · KO · R1
King GreenRating 2.2KO/TKO
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 · 2021-11
L · Dec · R3
Dan HookerRating 6.4Decision
UFC 243: Whittaker vs. Adesanya · 2019-10
L · Dec · R5
Donald CerroneRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Iaquinta vs. Cowboy · 2019-05
W · Dec · R5
Kevin LeeRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Iaquinta · 2018-12
L · Dec · R5
Khabib NurmagomedovRating 5.5Decision
UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta · 2018-04