UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai
Las Vegas, USA
5 Jun 2021
Lightweight
VS
30%
Patrick
70%
Jones
Win Probability
AP
Alan Patrick
"Nuguette"
15 – 4
5'11"74" reachSouthpaw42 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 23
Mason
Mason Jones
"The Dragon"
18 – 2
Well-Rounded3-fight win streak31 yrsOrthodox74" reach5'10"
CFR 54

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Jones

Jones is a strong favourite at 70% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 31 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Jones has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Patrick's chin rating of 32 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Patrick
Jones
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'10"
74"
Reach
74"
42
Age
+31
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Patrick
Jones
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
22.8
54.0
41.4
Performance Avg
46.2
32
Quality of Victory
33
58
Momentum Score
80
Patrick
Jones
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
2.0
39%
Strike Accuracy
45%
3.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.8
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
4
1
Body
3
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
3Distance1
0Clinch1
0Ground6
Patrick
Jones
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.9
/ 10
1.8
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.3
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Patrick
Jones
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
32
96
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.3 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/19 fights
Chin rating based on
7/20 fights
Patrick
Jones
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
58
80
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R2
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Patrick
Jones
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
20%
25%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Patrick
Jones
Striking3.1 / 3.8Volume7.5 / 7.3Grappling1.9 / 1.8Wrestling1.3 / 1.3Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure3.1 / 3.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.8
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.8
7.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.3
Patrick
Strike Zones
Jones
Patrick
Attacking
2HEAD1BODY0LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD3BODY1LEGS8 absorbed
Jones
Attacking
4HEAD3BODY1LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD1BODY0LEGS3 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Patrick targets the head (67% of attacks) — Jones absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Jones targets the head (50% of attacks) — Patrick absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Patrick
RND
Jones
0/0R00/0

Patrick · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0105.0W4.5W2.8L4.5W4.5W4.5W4.0L6.2L2.8L2013-102016-032018-102022-05
WinLossTrend

Jones · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.8
0106.6L5.3W6.7L5.0W5.2W5.8W2021-012021-102022-072025-052025-092026-03
WinLossTrend

Patrick · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Michael JohnsonRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Rakic · 2022-05
Upcoming
Mason Jones
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai · 2021-06
L · Dec · R3
King GreenRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill · 2020-09
L · KO · R3
Scott HoltzmanRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor · 2018-10
W · Dec · R3
Damir HadzovicRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. Anders · 2018-02

Jones · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Axel SolaRating 5.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · 2026-03
W · KO · R2
Bolaji OkiRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · 2025-09
W · Dec · R3
Jeremy StephensRating 5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
L · Dec · R3
Ludovit KleinRating 6.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall · 2022-07
W · Dec · R3
David OnamaRating 5.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori · 2021-10

News & Media

Alan Patrick · Mason Jones
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