UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Hooker
Las Vegas, USA
27 Jun 2020
Heavyweight
VS
54%
Villante
46%
Greene
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 3:44
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Villante
This is a genuine toss-up — Villante at 54% vs Greene at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Greene has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Villante's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Greene has a chin rating of 42 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Villante
Greene
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
+6'7"
76"
Reach
+80"
40
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Villante
Greene
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.4
17.5
40.8
Performance Avg
47.6
42
Quality of Victory
46
33
Momentum Score
53
Villante
Greene
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.4
42%
Strike Accuracy
45%
6.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.5
4 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
25
Head
3
1
Body
2
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
5Distance6
0Clinch1
21Ground0
Villante
Greene
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.0
/ 10
4.6
/ 10
0.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.2
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Villante
Greene
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
42
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/31 fights
Chin rating based on
8/16 fights
Villante
Greene
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
33
53
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
Villante
Greene
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
57%
75%
4
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
2
3
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Villante
Greene
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.5
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.6
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
5.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.8
4.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.0
VillanteGreene
Strike Zones
Villante
Attacking
26 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedGreene
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
26 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Villante targets the head (96% of attacks) — Greene absorbs 96% of strikes there
🎯Greene targets the head (43% of attacks) — Villante absorbs 43% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Villante
RND
Greene
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Villante · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Greene · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Villante · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Chris BarnettRating 3.8KO/TKO
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 · 2021-11
L · Dec · R3
Jake CollierRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Vettori · 2020-12
L · Sub · R3
Maurice GreeneRating 4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Hooker · 2020-06
L · KO · R1
Michal OleksiejczukRating 2.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Santos · 2019-02
W · Dec · R3
Ed HermanRating 4.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Smith · 2018-10
Greene · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Marcos Rogerio de LimaRating 6.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Waterson · 2021-05
L · KO · R2
Greg HardyRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Silva · 2020-10
W · Sub · R3
Gian VillanteRating 5.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Hooker · 2020-06
L · Sub · R2
Aleksei OleinikRating 2.8Submission
UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy · 2020-01
L · KO · R1
Sergei PavlovichRating 2.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren · 2019-10