UFC 130: Rampage vs Hamill
Las Vegas, USA
28 May 2011
Light Heavyweight
VS
54%
Jackson
46%
Hamill
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Jackson
This is a genuine toss-up — Jackson at 54% vs Hamill at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Hamill has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Hamill has a chin rating of 50 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Jackson
Hamill
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
6'1"
73"
Reach
+76"
47+
Age
49
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Jackson
Hamill
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.5
18.5
51.1
Performance Avg
51.9
44
Quality of Victory
42
100
Momentum Score
63
Jackson
Hamill
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
1.5
41%
Strike Accuracy
47%
5.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.3
3 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
5
9
Body
1
2
Leg
3
RangeRange
11Distance7
10Clinch2
0Ground0
Jackson
Hamill
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.5
/ 10
1.0
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Jackson
Hamill
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
80
50
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/49 fights
Chin rating based on
15/20 fights
Jackson
Hamill
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
63
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R4
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Jackson
Hamill
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
38%
50%
3
KO / TKO Wins
5
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Jackson
Hamill
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.3
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.0
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
6.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.5
JacksonHamill
Strike Zones
Jackson
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedHamill
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Jackson targets the head (48% of attacks) — Hamill absorbs 48% of strikes there
🎯Hamill targets the head (56% of attacks) — Jackson absorbs 56% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Jackson
RND
Hamill
0/0R00/0
Jackson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Hamill · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Jackson · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Fabio MaldonadoRating 4.5Decision
UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi · 2015-04
L · Dec · R3
Glover TeixeiraRating 5.9Decision
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Dodson · 2013-01
L · Dec · R3
Ryan BaderRating 5.5Decision
UFC 144: Edgar vs Henderson · 2012-02
L · Sub · R4
Jon JonesRating 5.2Submission
UFC 135: Jones vs Rampage · 2011-09
W · Dec · R3
Matt HamillRating 4.5Decision
UFC 130: Rampage vs Hamill · 2011-05
Hamill · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Thiago SilvaRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs Shields · 2013-10
W · Dec · R3
Roger HollettRating 4.5Decision
UFC 152: Jones vs Belfort · 2012-09
L · KO · R2
Alexander GustafssonRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 133: Evans vs Ortiz 2 · 2011-08
L · Dec · R3
Quinton JacksonRating 5.5Decision
UFC 130: Rampage vs Hamill · 2011-05
W · Dec · R3
Tito OrtizRating 4.5Decision
UFC 121: Lesnar vs Velasquez · 2010-10