UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier
Las Vegas, USA
17 Jun 2023
Women's Flyweight
VS
42%
Bleda
58%
Fernandes
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Tereza
Tereza Bleda
7 – 2
5'9"71" reachOrthodox24 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 31
Gabriella
Gabriella Fernandes
"Gabi"
11 – 4
Well-Rounded32 yrsSouthpaw66" reach5'6"
CFR 42

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Fernandes

This is a genuine toss-up — Bleda at 42% vs Fernandes at 58% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Fernandes throws more volume but Bleda connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Bleda's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Bleda
Fernandes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'6"
71"+
Reach
66"
24+
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Bleda
Fernandes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
30.6
42.1
28.3
Performance Avg
40.9
25
Quality of Victory
35
40
Momentum Score
40
Bleda
Fernandes
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.3
49%
Strike Accuracy
42%
0.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
24
Head
10
4
Body
3
2
Leg
2
RangeRange
10Distance14
0Clinch1
20Ground0
Bleda
Fernandes
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
4.3
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Bleda
Fernandes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
74
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/9 fights
Chin rating based on
6/15 fights
Bleda
Fernandes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
40
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Bleda
Fernandes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
33%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Bleda
Fernandes
Striking0.7 / 1.0Volume8.7 / 6.3Grappling2.4 / 4.3Wrestling1.7 / 3.0Submission0.0 / 3.3Pressure1.0 / 3.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.3
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
1.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.8
8.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.3
Bleda
Strike Zones
Fernandes
Bleda
Attacking
24HEAD4BODY2LEGS30 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD3BODY2LEGS15 absorbed
Fernandes
Attacking
10HEAD3BODY2LEGS15 landed
Absorbing
24HEAD4BODY2LEGS30 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Bleda targets the head (80% of attacks) — Fernandes absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Fernandes targets the head (67% of attacks) — Bleda absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Bleda
RND
Fernandes
0/0R00/0

Bleda · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.2
0105.5L4.9W2.2L2022-112023-062025-12
WinLossTrend

Fernandes · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0106.4L5.5L6.2W6.5W4.8W2.7L2023-022023-062024-062024-112025-082026-03
WinLossTrend

Bleda · Last 3

L · KO · R1
Jamey-Lyn HorthRating 2.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12
W · Dec · R3
Gabriella FernandesRating 4.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier · 2023-06
L · KO · R3
Natalia SilvaRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba · 2022-11

Fernandes · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Casey O'NeillRating 2.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
W · Dec · R3
Julija StoliarenkoRating 4.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
W · Sub · R2
Wang CongRating 6.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · 2024-11
W · Dec · R3
Carli JudiceRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira · 2024-06
L · Dec · R3
Tereza BledaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier · 2023-06

News & Media

Tereza Bleda · Gabriella Fernandes
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