Rafael Dos Anjos vs Khabib Nurmagomedov — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC on FOX: Werdum vs Browne

Orlando, USA

19 Apr 2014

Lightweight

62%

Anjos

38%

Nurmagomedov

Win Probability

Decision

Round 3 · 5:00

Rafael Dos Anjos

32 – 17

5'8"70" reachSouthpaw41 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded

CFR 43

Khabib Nurmagomedov

"The Eagle"

29 – 0

Well-Rounded13-fight win streak37 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'10"

CFR 26

★ Official Result

Khabib NurmagomedovwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00

def. Rafael Dos Anjos · UFC on FOX: Werdum vs Browne

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Anjos

→

Actual result

Nurmagomedov wins

Decision · R3

Pre-fight analysis

Anjos holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Nurmagomedov has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Anjos's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

AnjosNurmagomedov

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Anjos

Nurmagomedov

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

5'8"

Height

+5'10"

70"

Reach

70"

Age

+37

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

Anjos

Nurmagomedov

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

43.1

25.9

47.7

Performance Avg

68.2

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

100

Anjos

Nurmagomedov

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

3.1

/ 10

3.5

/ 10

4.8

Style: Pressure

6.8

5.7

Style: Volume

5.7

4 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

2 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

5Distance2

0Clinch0

0Ground8

Anjos

Nurmagomedov

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

3.3

/ 10

4.2

/ 10

2.3

Wrestling Style (/10)

2.9

2.4

Submission Style (/10)

3.9

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Anjos

Nurmagomedov

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

100

KO risk

Verdict

Never stopped

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R2.5 stoppage

KO round context

—

1 fight ago

Last KO loss

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

37/49 fights

Chin rating based on

13/29 fights

Anjos

Nurmagomedov

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

100

3-fight 📉 slide

Current form

13-fight 🔥 win streak

Upcoming

L · KO · R1

L · Dec · R3

L · Dec · R5

W · Sub · R2

Last 5

W · Sub · R2

W · Sub · R3

W · Sub · R4

W · Dec · R5

W · Dec · R3

Anjos

Nurmagomedov

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

43%

54%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Anjos

Nurmagomedov

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

3.1

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

3.5

3.3

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

4.2

2.3

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

2.9

2.4

Submission

Submission attack frequency

3.9

4.8

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

6.8

5.7

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

5.7

Anjos

Strike Zones

Nurmagomedov

Anjos

Attacking

5 landed

Absorbing

10 absorbed

Nurmagomedov

Attacking

10 landed

Absorbing

5 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Anjos targets the body (60% of attacks) — Nurmagomedov absorbs 60% of strikes there

🎯Nurmagomedov targets the head (100% of attacks) — Anjos absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Anjos

RND

Nurmagomedov

0/0R00/0

Anjos · Last 5

Upcoming

Alexander Hernandez

UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang · 2026-10

L · KO · R1

Geoff Neal

KO/TKO

UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10

L · Dec · R3

Mateusz Gamrot

Decision

UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03

L · Dec · R5

Vicente Luque

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · 2023-08

W · Sub · R2

Bryan Barberena

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12

Nurmagomedov · Last 5

W · Sub · R2

Justin Gaethje

Submission

UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje · 2020-10

W · Sub · R3

Dustin Poirier

Submission

UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier · 2019-09

W · Sub · R4

Conor McGregor

Submission

UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor · 2018-10

W · Dec · R5

Al Iaquinta

Decision

UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta · 2018-04

W · Dec · R3

Edson Barboza

Decision

UFC 219: Cyborg vs. Holm · 2017-12

News & Media

Rafael Dos Anjos · Khabib Nurmagomedov

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