UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Smith
Moncton, Canada
27 Oct 2018
Lightweight
VS
8%
Edwards
92%
Madge
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 0:14
TE
Te Edwards
6 – 3
5'8"72" reachOrthodox35 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 2
DM
Don Madge
"Magic Man"
9 – 3
Volume Striker2-fight win streak35 yrsSouthpaw72" reach6'0"
CFR 25

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Madge

Madge is a strong favourite at 92% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 23 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Madge has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 40 points.

Madge has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Edwards
Madge
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+6'0"
72"
Reach
72"
35
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Edwards
Madge
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
2.1
24.7
0.0
Performance Avg
64.0
0
Quality of Victory
40
0
Momentum Score
100
Edwards
Madge
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.2
0.7
33%
Strike Accuracy
63%
0.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
5
0
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance4
0Clinch0
0Ground2
Edwards
Madge
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.0
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Edwards
Madge
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
100
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
2/9 fights
Chin rating based on
2/12 fights
Edwards
Madge
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Edwards
Madge
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Edwards
Madge
Striking0.0 / 7.0Volume0.0 / 6.0Grappling0.0 / 1.2Wrestling0.0 / 0.8Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure0.0 / 6.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.5
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.0
Edwards
Strike Zones
Madge
Edwards
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD1BODY0LEGS6 absorbed
Madge
Attacking
5HEAD1BODY0LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Madge targets the head (83% of attacks) — Edwards absorbs 83% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Edwards
RND
Madge
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Edwards · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.2
0102.8L5.5L2018-102019-01
WinLossTrend

Madge · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0105.2W5.7W2018-102019-09
WinLossTrend

Edwards · Last 2

L · Dec · R3
Dennis BermudezRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw · 2019-01
L · KO · R2
Don MadgeRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Smith · 2018-10

Madge · Last 2

W · Dec · R3
Fares ZiamRating 5.7
Decision
UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier · 2019-09
W · KO · R2
Te EdwardsRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Smith · 2018-10

News & Media

Te Edwards · Don Madge
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