METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 108: Evans vs Silva
Las Vegas, USA
2 Jan 2010
Lightweight
VS
81%
Miller
19%
Ludwig
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:31
★ Official Result
Jim MillerwinsSubmissionR1 · 2:31
def. Duane Ludwig · UFC 108: Evans vs Silva
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Miller
→
Actual result
Miller wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Miller is a strong favourite at 81% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 33 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Miller has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Risk flags
Miller's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Ludwig has a chin rating of 10 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MillerLudwig
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Miller
Ludwig
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'10"
71"+
Reach
70"
43+
Age
48
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Miller
Ludwig
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
43.5
10.1
51.5
Performance Avg
38.0
45
Quality of Victory
34
28
Momentum Score
10
Miller
Ludwig
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.4
/ 10
3.4
/ 10
6.8
Style: Pressure
3.1
3.5
Style: Volume
6.9
6 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
2
1
Body
0
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance2
0Clinch0
1Ground0
Miller
Ludwig
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.7
/ 10
1.8
/ 10
3.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.3
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
14
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Miller
Ludwig
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
10
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
3
3
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
18 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
47/58 fights
Chin rating based on
9/35 fights
Miller
Ludwig
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
28
10
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Miller
Ludwig
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
71%
25%
6
KO / TKO Wins
1
14
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Miller
Ludwig
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.4
4.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
3.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.1
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.9
MillerLudwig
Strike Zones
Miller
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedLudwig
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Miller targets the head (50% of attacks) — Ludwig absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Ludwig targets the head (100% of attacks) — Miller absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Miller
RND
Ludwig
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Miller · Last 5
W · Sub · R1
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Ludwig · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Che MillsKO/TKO
UFC on FUEL TV: Struve vs Miocic · 2012-09
L · KO · R1
Dan HardyKO/TKO
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L · Sub · R1
Josh NeerSubmission
UFC on FX: Guillard vs Miller · 2012-01
W · Dec · R3
Amir SadollahDecision
UFC Live: Hardy vs Lytle · 2011-08
W · Dec · R3
Nick OsipczakDecision
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