UFC 108: Evans vs Silva
Las Vegas, USA
2 Jan 2010
Lightweight
VS
81%
Miller
19%
Ludwig
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:31
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Miller
Miller is a strong favourite at 81% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 33 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Miller has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Striking split: Ludwig throws more volume but Miller connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Miller's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Ludwig has a chin rating of 10 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Miller
Ludwig
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'10"
71"+
Reach
70"
42+
Age
47
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Miller
Ludwig
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
43.5
10.1
51.5
Performance Avg
38.0
45
Quality of Victory
34
28
Momentum Score
10
Miller
Ludwig
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
2.4
41%
Strike Accuracy
39%
3.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.4
6 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
2
1
Body
0
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance2
0Clinch0
1Ground0
Miller
Ludwig
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.0
Sub Attempts / fight
—
4.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.8
3.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Miller
Ludwig
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
10
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
3
3
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
18 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
47/58 fights
Chin rating based on
9/35 fights
Miller
Ludwig
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
28
10
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Miller
Ludwig
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
71%
25%
6
KO / TKO Wins
1
14
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Miller
Ludwig
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.4
4.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
3.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.1
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.9
MillerLudwig
Strike Zones
Miller
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedLudwig
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Miller targets the head (50% of attacks) — Ludwig absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Ludwig targets the head (100% of attacks) — Miller absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Miller
RND
Ludwig
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Miller · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Ludwig · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.0WinLossTrend
Miller · Last 5
W · Sub · R1
Jared GordonRating 5.4Submission
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Chase HooperRating 6.3Decision
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · Sub · R1
Damon JacksonRating 5.3Submission
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
King GreenRating 6.2Decision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · Sub · R3
Gabriel BenitezRating 5.7Submission
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · 2024-01
Ludwig · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Che MillsRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC on FUEL TV: Struve vs Miocic · 2012-09
L · KO · R1
Dan HardyRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 146: Dos Santos vs Mir · 2012-05
L · Sub · R1
Josh NeerRating 1.5Submission
UFC on FX: Guillard vs Miller · 2012-01
W · Dec · R3
Amir SadollahRating 4.5Decision
UFC Live: Hardy vs Lytle · 2011-08
W · Dec · R3
Nick OsipczakRating 4.5Decision
UFC 122: Marquardt vs Okami · 2010-11