UFC on FOX: Holm vs. Shevchenko
Chicago, USA
23 Jul 2016
Heavyweight
VS
98%
Ngannou
2%
Mihajlovic
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:34
FN
CFR 43
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Ngannou
Ngannou is a strong favourite at 98% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 42 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Ngannou has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 60 points.
Ngannou has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Mihajlovic has a chin rating of 34 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Ngannou
Mihajlovic
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
5'11"
83"+
Reach
73"
39+
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Ngannou
Mihajlovic
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
43.0
1.0
70.4
Performance Avg
0.0
60
Quality of Victory
0
100
Momentum Score
0
Ngannou
Mihajlovic
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
0.3
46%
Strike Accuracy
25%
9.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
9 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
0
3
Body
1
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
3Distance3
0Clinch0
5Ground0
Ngannou
Mihajlovic
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
0.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Ngannou
Mihajlovic
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
96
34
Never stopped
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/20 fights
Chin rating based on
3/16 fights
Ngannou
Mihajlovic
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
0
6-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
Ngannou
Mihajlovic
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
83%
0%
9
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ngannou
Mihajlovic
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
9.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
0.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
2.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
NgannouMihajlovic
Strike Zones
Ngannou
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedMihajlovic
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Ngannou targets the head (63% of attacks) — Mihajlovic absorbs 63% of strikes there
🎯Mihajlovic targets the legs (67% of attacks) — Ngannou absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ngannou
RND
Mihajlovic
0/0R00/0
Ngannou · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.6WinLossTrend
Mihajlovic · QOF Timeline
Avg: 2.9WinLossTrend
Ngannou · Last 5
W · Dec · R5
Ciryl GaneRating 6.2Decision
UFC 270: Ngannou vs. Gane · 2022-01
W · KO · R2
Stipe MiocicRating 6.2KO/TKO
UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2021-03
W · KO · R1
Jairzinho RozenstruikRating 6.1KO/TKO
UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje · 2020-05
W · KO · R1
Junior Dos SantosRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos · 2019-06
W · KO · R1
Cain VelasquezRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez · 2019-02
Mihajlovic · Last 3
L · KO · R2
Abdul-Kerim EdilovRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Struve · 2017-09
L · KO · R3
Joachim ChristensenRating 4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Penn · 2017-01
L · KO · R1
Francis NgannouRating 1.9KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Holm vs. Shevchenko · 2016-07