UFC Fight Night: Benavidez vs. Figueiredo
Norfolk, USA
29 Feb 2020
Lightweight
VS
20%
Pena
80%
Garcia
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
LP
Luis Pena
"Violent Bob Ross"
9 – 3
6'3"75" reachSouthpaw32 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 18
Steve
Steve Garcia
"Mean Machine"
19 – 5
Knockout Artist7-fight win streak34 yrsSouthpaw75" reach6'0"
CFR 73

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Garcia

Garcia is a strong favourite at 80% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 54 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Garcia has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 19 points.

Garcia has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Pena
Garcia
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'0"
75"
Reach
75"
32+
Age
34
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Pena
Garcia
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.3
72.5
46.5
Performance Avg
65.0
36
Quality of Victory
55
68
Momentum Score
95
Pena
Garcia
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
2.4
44%
Strike Accuracy
53%
3.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
1
0
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance1
0Clinch0
0Ground1
Pena
Garcia
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.4
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
3.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.3
2.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Pena
Garcia
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
84
76
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
8 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/12 fights
Chin rating based on
11/24 fights
Pena
Garcia
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
68
95
Current form
7-fight 🔥 win streak
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Pena
Garcia
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
88%
1
KO / TKO Wins
7
1
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Pena
Garcia
Striking3.3 / 10.0Volume6.0 / 2.6Grappling3.0 / 0.3Wrestling2.1 / 0.2Submission2.0 / 0.0Pressure4.7 / 8.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
3.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.3
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.2
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.5
6.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.6
Pena
Strike Zones
Garcia
Pena
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD1BODY0LEGS2 absorbed
Garcia
Attacking
1HEAD1BODY0LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Garcia targets the head (50% of attacks) — Pena absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Pena
RND
Garcia
0/0R00/0

Pena · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0105.0W5.5L4.5W5.5W5.7L6.4W4.0L4.5W2018-072019-032019-102020-062021-04
WinLossTrend

Garcia · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0105.5L5.2W1.8L5.8W5.5W6.5W5.2W5.1W5.0W5.8W2020-022022-102024-072025-11
WinLossTrend

Pena · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Alexander MunozRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Gastelum · 2021-04
L · Sub · R3
Khama WorthyRating 4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Hooker · 2020-06
W · Dec · R3
Steve GarciaRating 6.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Benavidez vs. Figueiredo · 2020-02
L · Dec · R3
Matt FrevolaRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Joanna vs. Waterson · 2019-10
W · KO · R3
Matt WimanRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. The Korean Zombie · 2019-06

Garcia · Last 5

Upcoming
Diego Lopes
UFC Freedom 250 · 2026-06
W · KO · R1
David OnamaRating 5.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Calvin KattarRating 5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
W · KO · R1
Kyle NelsonRating 5.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · 2024-09
W · KO · R1
SeungWoo ChoiRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba · 2024-07

News & Media

Luis Pena · Steve Garcia
← Back to fights