METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira
Las Vegas, USA
7 Feb 2026
Bantamweight
VS
32%
Gafurov
68%
Wiklacz
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 4:59
★ Official Result
Jakub WiklaczwinsSubmissionR3 · 4:59
def. Muin Gafurov · UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Wiklacz
→
Actual result
Wiklacz wins
Submission · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Wiklacz holds a meaningful edge at 68% per the CFR ratings — but Gafurov has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 36 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Wiklacz has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
GafurovWiklacz
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Gafurov
Wiklacz
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'10"
68"
Reach
+72"
30
Age
+29
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Gafurov
Wiklacz
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
32.5
68.5
31.0
Performance Avg
61.0
25
Quality of Victory
35
35
Momentum Score
100
Gafurov
Wiklacz
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.8
/ 10
2.0
/ 10
1.2
Style: Pressure
6.5
8.8
Style: Volume
6.0
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
25
Head
11
24
Body
11
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
45Distance18
5Clinch4
0Ground0
Gafurov
Wiklacz
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
5.2
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Gafurov
Wiklacz
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
100
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/27 fights
Chin rating based on
2/21 fights
Gafurov
Wiklacz
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
35
100
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
Gafurov
Wiklacz
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Gafurov
Wiklacz
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
1.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.5
8.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.0
GafurovWiklacz
Strike Zones
Gafurov
Attacking
50 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedWiklacz
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
50 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Gafurov targets the head (50% of attacks) — Wiklacz absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Wiklacz targets the head (50% of attacks) — Gafurov absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Gafurov
RND
Wiklacz
0/0R00/0
Gafurov · Last 5
L · Sub · R3
Jakub WiklaczSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
W · Dec · R3
Rinya NakamuraDecision
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
W · Dec · R3
Kyung Ho KangDecision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
L · Sub · R1
Said NurmagomedovSubmission
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10
L · Dec · R3
John CastanedaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi · 2023-06
Wiklacz · Last 2
W · Sub · R3
Muin GafurovSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
W · Dec · R3
Patchy MixDecision
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10