UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira
Las Vegas, USA
7 Feb 2026
Bantamweight
VS
32%
Gafurov
68%
Wiklacz
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 4:59
Muin
Muin Gafurov
"Tajik"
20 – 7
5'7"68" reachOrthodox30 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 33
Jakub
Jakub Wiklacz
18 – 3
Well-Rounded2-fight win streak29 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'10"
CFR 69

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Wiklacz

Wiklacz holds a meaningful edge at 68% per the CFR ratings — but Gafurov has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 36 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Wiklacz has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.

Gafurov has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Gafurov
Wiklacz
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'10"
68"
Reach
+72"
30
Age
+29
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Gafurov
Wiklacz
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
32.5
68.5
31.0
Performance Avg
61.0
25
Quality of Victory
35
35
Momentum Score
100
Gafurov
Wiklacz
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
0.6
49%
Strike Accuracy
33%
0.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
25
Head
11
24
Body
11
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
45Distance18
5Clinch4
0Ground0
Gafurov
Wiklacz
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.2
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Gafurov
Wiklacz
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
100
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/27 fights
Chin rating based on
3/21 fights
Gafurov
Wiklacz
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
35
100
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
Gafurov
Wiklacz
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Gafurov
Wiklacz
Striking0.8 / 2.0Volume8.8 / 6.0Grappling2.4 / 5.2Wrestling1.7 / 3.6Submission0.0 / 5.0Pressure1.2 / 6.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
1.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.5
8.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.0
Gafurov
Strike Zones
Wiklacz
Gafurov
Attacking
25HEAD24BODY1LEGS50 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD11BODY0LEGS22 absorbed
Wiklacz
Attacking
11HEAD11BODY0LEGS22 landed
Absorbing
25HEAD24BODY1LEGS50 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Gafurov targets the head (50% of attacks) — Wiklacz absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Wiklacz targets the head (50% of attacks) — Gafurov absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Gafurov
RND
Wiklacz
0/0R00/0

Gafurov · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0106.3L2.9L5.4W6.2W5.7L2023-062023-102024-062025-012026-02
WinLossTrend

Wiklacz · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0104.5W5.5W2025-102026-02
WinLossTrend

Gafurov · Last 5

L · Sub · R3
Jakub WiklaczRating 5.7
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
W · Dec · R3
Rinya NakamuraRating 6.2
Decision
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
W · Dec · R3
Kyung Ho KangRating 5.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
L · Sub · R1
Said NurmagomedovRating 2.9
Submission
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10
L · Dec · R3
John CastanedaRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi · 2023-06

Wiklacz · Last 3

Upcoming
Marcus McGhee
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06
W · Sub · R3
Muin GafurovRating 5.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
W · Dec · R3
Patchy MixRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10

News & Media

Muin Gafurov · Jakub Wiklacz
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