UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland
Newark, USA
9 May 2026
Middleweight
VS
47%
Kopylov
53%
Tulio
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Roman
Roman Kopylov
15 – 5
6'0"75" reachSouthpaw34 yrsStriker
CFR 54
Marco
Marco Tulio
"Matuto"
14 – 3
Knockout Artist2-fight slide31 yrsOrthodox74" reach6'0"
CFR 62

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Tulio

This is a genuine toss-up — Kopylov at 47% vs Tulio at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Tulio has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.

Tulio has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Kopylov
Tulio
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
6'0"
75"+
Reach
74"
34
Age
+31
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Kopylov
Tulio
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
54.3
61.8
50.3
Performance Avg
54.5
45
Quality of Victory
58
58
Momentum Score
65
Kopylov
Tulio
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
3.5
52%
Strike Accuracy
56%
8.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
5 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
21
Head
10
3
Body
3
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
15Distance14
4Clinch0
5Ground0
Kopylov
Tulio
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.7
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
0.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Kopylov
Tulio
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
70
76
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/20 fights
Chin rating based on
4/17 fights
Kopylov
Tulio
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
58
65
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
Kopylov
Tulio
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
71%
100%
5
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Kopylov
Tulio
Striking8.3 / 10.0Volume3.5 / 1.0Grappling0.7 / 0.0Wrestling0.5 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure6.8 / 8.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
0.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.5
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.0
Kopylov
Strike Zones
Tulio
Kopylov
Attacking
21HEAD3BODY0LEGS24 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD3BODY1LEGS14 absorbed
Tulio
Attacking
10HEAD3BODY1LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
21HEAD3BODY0LEGS24 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Kopylov targets the head (88% of attacks) — Tulio absorbs 88% of strikes there
🎯Tulio targets the head (71% of attacks) — Kopylov absorbs 71% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Kopylov
RND
Tulio
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
0/0R20/0

Kopylov · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.6
0104.0L5.5L5.5W6.2W5.6W5.2W4.2L5.6W6.2W6.5L7.1L5.8W2019-112023-012024-022025-072026-05
WinLossTrend

Tulio · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0105.0W6.4W4.2L6.5L2025-012025-042025-112026-05
WinLossTrend

Kopylov · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Marco TulioRating 5.8
Decision
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Gregory RodriguesRating 7.1
Decision
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
L · Dec · R3
Paulo CostaRating 6.5
Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
W · KO · R3
Chris CurtisRating 6.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01
W · Dec · R3
Cesar AlmeidaRating 5.6
Decision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06

Tulio · Last 4

L · Dec · R3
Roman KopylovRating 6.5
Decision
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
L · KO · R2
Christian Leroy DuncanRating 4.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
W · KO · R2
Tresean GoreRating 6.4
KO/TKO
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · KO · R1
Ihor PotieriaRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01

News & Media

Roman Kopylov · Marco Tulio
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