METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland
Newark, USA
9 May 2026
Middleweight
VS
47%
Kopylov
53%
Tulio
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Roman KopylovwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Marco Tulio · UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Tulio
→
Actual result
Kopylov wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Kopylov at 47% vs Tulio at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Tulio has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
KopylovTulio
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Kopylov
Tulio
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
6'0"
75"+
Reach
74"
34
Age
+32
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Kopylov
Tulio
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
54.3
61.8
50.3
Performance Avg
54.5
45
Quality of Victory
58
58
Momentum Score
65
Kopylov
Tulio
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
8.3
/ 10
10.0
/ 10
6.8
Style: Pressure
8.5
3.5
Style: Volume
1.0
5 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
21
Head
10
3
Body
3
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
15Distance14
4Clinch0
5Ground0
Kopylov
Tulio
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.7
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
0.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Kopylov
Tulio
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
70
76
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/20 fights
Chin rating based on
4/17 fights
Kopylov
Tulio
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
58
65
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
Kopylov
Tulio
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
71%
100%
5
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Kopylov
Tulio
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
0.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.5
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.0
KopylovTulio
Strike Zones
Kopylov
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTulio
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Kopylov targets the head (88% of attacks) — Tulio absorbs 88% of strikes there
🎯Tulio targets the head (71% of attacks) — Kopylov absorbs 71% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Kopylov
RND
Tulio
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
0/0R20/0
Kopylov · Last 5
Upcoming
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L · Dec · R3
Roman KopylovDecision
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L · KO · R2
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