UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Gaethje
Vancouver, Canada
14 Sept 2019
Heavyweight
VS
52%
Tybura
48%
Sakai
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:59
Marcin
Marcin Tybura
"Tybur"
27 – 11
6'3"78" reachOrthodox40 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 43
AS
Augusto Sakai
16 – 5
Well-Rounded35 yrsOrthodox77" reach6'3"
CFR 39

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Tybura

This is a genuine toss-up — Tybura at 52% vs Sakai at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Tybura has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Tybura's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Sakai has a chin rating of 12 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Tybura
Sakai
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
6'3"
78"+
Reach
77"
40
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Tybura
Sakai
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
42.5
38.9
45.2
Performance Avg
44.4
37
Quality of Victory
37
58
Momentum Score
100
Tybura
Sakai
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.5
53%
Strike Accuracy
50%
4.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.1
4 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
13
1
Body
2
4
Leg
0
RangeRange
6Distance6
0Clinch7
0Ground2
Tybura
Sakai
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.4
1.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Tybura
Sakai
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
12
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
4 consec. KOs
5
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.6 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
24/38 fights
Chin rating based on
9/21 fights
Tybura
Sakai
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
58
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · R2
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R5
Tybura
Sakai
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
36%
40%
4
KO / TKO Wins
2
1
Submission Wins
0
9
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Tybura
Sakai
Striking4.0 / 5.1Volume5.7 / 5.9Grappling1.9 / 1.4Wrestling1.4 / 1.0Submission0.7 / 0.0Pressure4.3 / 4.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.1
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.4
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.0
0.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
5.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.9
Tybura
Strike Zones
Sakai
Tybura
Attacking
1HEAD1BODY4LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
13HEAD2BODY0LEGS15 absorbed
Sakai
Attacking
13HEAD2BODY0LEGS15 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD1BODY4LEGS6 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Tybura targets the legs (67% of attacks) — Sakai absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Sakai targets the head (87% of attacks) — Tybura absorbs 87% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Tybura
RND
Sakai
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Tybura · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.5L5.2W5.5W5.2W5.5L5.2L4.5W2.8L1.7L5.0W4.5W4.5W5.2W5.0W6.8L5.3W4.5W3.9L5.4W2.0L5.1W5.6W2.5L6.8L2016-042018-072020-122024-032026-03
WinLossTrend

Sakai · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0105.5W5.2W5.4W4.5W4.0L2.6L3.2L3.3L4.8W2018-092020-052021-122023-02
WinLossTrend

Tybura · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Tyrell FortuneRating 6.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
L · KO · R1
Ante DelijaRating 2.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · 2025-09
W · Dec · R3
Mick ParkinRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
W · R2
Jhonata DinizRating 5.1
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
L · Sub · R1
Serghei SpivacRating 2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · 2024-08

Sakai · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Don'Tale MayesRating 4.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen · 2023-02
L · KO · R2
Serghei SpivacRating 3.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill · 2022-08
L · KO · R2
Tai TuivasaRating 3.2
KO/TKO
UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier · 2021-12
L · KO · R1
Jairzinho RozenstruikRating 2.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai · 2021-06
L · KO · R5
Alistair OvereemRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Sakai · 2020-09

News & Media

Marcin Tybura · Augusto Sakai
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