METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Gaethje
Vancouver, Canada
14 Sept 2019
Heavyweight
VS
58%
Tybura
42%
Sakai
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:59
★ Official Result
Augusto SakaiwinsKO/TKOR1 · 0:59
def. Marcin Tybura · UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Gaethje
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Tybura
→
Actual result
Sakai wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Tybura at 58% vs Sakai at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Tybura's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Sakai has a chin rating of 12 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
TyburaSakai
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Tybura
Sakai
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
6'3"
78"+
Reach
77"
40
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Tybura
Sakai
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
39.0
28.5
44.3
Performance Avg
44.4
37
Quality of Victory
37
43
Momentum Score
100
Tybura
Sakai
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.0
/ 10
5.1
/ 10
4.2
Style: Pressure
4.5
5.7
Style: Volume
5.9
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
13
1
Body
2
4
Leg
0
RangeRange
6Distance6
0Clinch7
0Ground2
Tybura
Sakai
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.9
/ 10
1.4
/ 10
1.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.0
0.7
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Tybura
Sakai
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
12
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
4 consec. KOs
5
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.6 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
25/38 fights
Chin rating based on
9/21 fights
Tybura
Sakai
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
100
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · R2
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R5
Tybura
Sakai
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
36%
40%
4
KO / TKO Wins
2
1
Submission Wins
0
9
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Tybura
Sakai
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.1
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.4
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.0
0.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
5.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.9
TyburaSakai
Strike Zones
Tybura
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedSakai
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Tybura targets the legs (67% of attacks) — Sakai absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Sakai targets the head (87% of attacks) — Tybura absorbs 87% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Tybura
RND
Sakai
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Tybura · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Aleksandar RakicDecision
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L · Dec · R3
Tyrell FortuneDecision
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L · KO · R1
Ante DelijaKO/TKO
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W · Dec · R3
Mick ParkinDecision
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W · R2
Jhonata DinizUFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
Sakai · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Don'Tale MayesDecision
UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen · 2023-02
L · KO · R2
Serghei SpivacKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill · 2022-08
L · KO · R2
Tai TuivasaKO/TKO
UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier · 2021-12
L · KO · R1
Jairzinho RozenstruikKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai · 2021-06
L · KO · R5
Alistair OvereemKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Sakai · 2020-09