UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov
Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
22 Jun 2024
Light Heavyweight
VS
50%
Walker
50%
Oezdemir
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:28
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Walker
This is a genuine toss-up — Walker at 50% vs Oezdemir at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Oezdemir throws more volume but Walker connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Walker's chin rating of 6 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Oezdemir has a chin rating of 36 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Walker
Oezdemir
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'6"+
Height
6'2"
82"+
Reach
75"
34+
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Walker
Oezdemir
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
50.4
50.6
54.6
Performance Avg
50.8
56
Quality of Victory
47
41
Momentum Score
52
Walker
Oezdemir
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.0
2.0
59%
Strike Accuracy
48%
8.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.7
6 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
22
3
Body
9
6
Leg
6
RangeRange
15Distance33
0Clinch2
0Ground2
Walker
Oezdemir
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Walker
Oezdemir
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
6
36
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
7 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/32 fights
Chin rating based on
16/29 fights
Walker
Oezdemir
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
41
52
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
Upcoming
Last 5
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Walker
Oezdemir
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
88%
67%
6
KO / TKO Wins
5
1
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Walker
Oezdemir
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.7
1.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.7
0.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.1
7.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.3
2.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.8
WalkerOezdemir
Strike Zones
Walker
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
37 absorbedOezdemir
Attacking
37 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Walker targets the head (40% of attacks) — Oezdemir absorbs 40% of strikes there
🎯Oezdemir targets the head (59% of attacks) — Walker absorbs 59% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Walker
RND
Oezdemir
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0
Walker · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Oezdemir · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Walker · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Dominick ReyesRating 6.5Decision
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
W · KO · R2
Zhang MingyangRating 7.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08
L · KO · R1
Volkan OezdemirRating 2.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
L · KO · R2
Magomed AnkalaevRating 3.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · 2024-01
Upcoming
Magomed AnkalaevUFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10
Oezdemir · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Alonzo MenifieldRating 5.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
L · Dec · R3
Carlos UlbergRating 7.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · 2024-11
W · KO · R1
Johnny WalkerRating 5.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
W · Sub · R1
Bogdan GuskovRating 7Submission
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac · 2023-09
L · Dec · R3
Nikita KrylovRating 6.7Decision
UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev · 2022-10

