UFC 200: Tate vs Nunes
Las Vegas, USA
9 Jul 2016
Lightweight
VS
42%
Sanchez
58%
Lauzon
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:26
DS
Diego Sanchez
"Nightmare"
31 – 13
5'10"72" reachSouthpaw44 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 13
JL
Joe Lauzon
28 – 16
Well-Rounded42 yrsOrthodox71" reach5'10"
CFR 18

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Lauzon

This is a genuine toss-up — Sanchez at 42% vs Lauzon at 58% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Lauzon has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.

Lauzon has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Sanchez's chin rating of 14 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Lauzon has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Sanchez
Lauzon
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
5'10"
72"+
Reach
71"
44
Age
+42
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Sanchez
Lauzon
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
12.7
17.7
46.0
Performance Avg
51.5
37
Quality of Victory
49
20
Momentum Score
59
Sanchez
Lauzon
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.3
39%
Strike Accuracy
43%
4.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.4
6 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
22
2
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance6
1Clinch14
0Ground2
Sanchez
Lauzon
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.0
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
1.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.0
1.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Sanchez
Lauzon
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
14
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
5
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.6 stoppage
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
32/44 fights
Chin rating based on
27/44 fights
Sanchez
Lauzon
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
20
59
L · Dec · R3
W · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Sanchez
Lauzon
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
32%
80%
6
KO / TKO Wins
5
0
Submission Wins
7
13
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Sanchez
Lauzon
Striking4.3 / 4.4Volume6.2 / 2.2Grappling1.5 / 4.0Wrestling1.1 / 2.8Submission0.0 / 4.7Pressure4.0 / 7.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.4
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.0
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.7
4.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.3
6.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.2
Sanchez
Strike Zones
Lauzon
Sanchez
Attacking
3HEAD2BODY1LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
22HEAD0BODY0LEGS22 absorbed
Lauzon
Attacking
22HEAD0BODY0LEGS22 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD2BODY1LEGS6 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Sanchez targets the head (50% of attacks) — Lauzon absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Lauzon targets the head (100% of attacks) — Sanchez absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Sanchez
RND
Lauzon
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Sanchez · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0105.0W5.2W4.5W4.5W4.5W5.0W5.5L5.5L5.0W5.5W4.5W5.0W5.5L5.5L4.5W4.5W5.5L4.5W5.5L5.5L4.5W5.5L4.9W1.5L4.5W1.5L1.9L4.5W5.8W6.3L5.1W6.5L2005-042008-032012-022016-112020-09
WinLossTrend

Lauzon · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.0W5.2W5.0W2.8L5.2W5.8W5.5L5.0W2.8L5.0W5.0W1.5L5.5W5.9L5.6L4.5W5.0W2.8L5.0W5.5L5.0W5.9L4.5W5.5L2.0L2.8L5.5W2006-092010-082013-082016-082019-10
WinLossTrend

Sanchez · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Jake MatthewsRating 6.5
Decision
UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa · 2020-09
W · R3
Michel PereiraRating 5.1
UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz · 2020-02
L · Dec · R3
Michael ChiesaRating 6.3
Decision
UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos · 2019-07
W · KO · R2
Mickey GallRating 5.8
KO/TKO
UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith · 2019-03
W · Dec · R3
Craig WhiteRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till · 2018-09

Lauzon · Last 5

W · KO · R1
Jonathan PearceRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Weidman · 2019-10
L · KO · R2
Chris GruetzemacherRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta · 2018-04
L · KO · R1
Clay GuidaRating 2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Pettis · 2017-11
L · Dec · R3
Stevie RayRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lobov · 2017-04
W · Dec · R3
Marcin HeldRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Penn · 2017-01

News & Media

Diego Sanchez · Joe Lauzon
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