★ Championship Bout · Women's Flyweight
UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs. Carmouche 2
Montevideo, Uruguay
10 Aug 2019
Women's Flyweight
VS
82%
Shevchenko
18%
Carmouche
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
Valentina
Valentina Shevchenko
"Bullet"
26 – 4
5'5"66" reachSouthpaw38 yrs3-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 62
LC
Liz Carmouche
"Girlrilla"
13 – 7
Well-Rounded42 yrsOrthodox66" reach5'6"
CFR 14

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Shevchenko

Shevchenko is a strong favourite at 82% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 48 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Shevchenko has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 24 points.

Shevchenko has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Shevchenko
Carmouche
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
+5'6"
66"
Reach
66"
38+
Age
42
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Shevchenko
Carmouche
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
62.2
14.0
66.5
Performance Avg
38.6
55
Quality of Victory
31
53
Momentum Score
40
Shevchenko
Carmouche
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
0.9
58%
Strike Accuracy
52%
4.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.0
4 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
0
1
Body
0
3
Leg
2
RangeRange
4Distance2
0Clinch0
2Ground0
Shevchenko
Carmouche
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.5
/ 10
1.9
/ 10
1.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.3
1.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Shevchenko
Carmouche
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
84
80
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/30 fights
Chin rating based on
10/20 fights
Shevchenko
Carmouche
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
53
40
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Upcoming
L · Sub · R4
Last 5
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Shevchenko
Carmouche
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
20%
4
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
0
9
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Shevchenko
Carmouche
Striking4.3 / 3.0Volume6.5 / 7.4Grappling2.5 / 1.9Wrestling1.8 / 1.3Submission1.3 / 0.0Pressure5.3 / 2.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.0
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.9
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.9
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.4
Shevchenko
Strike Zones
Carmouche
Shevchenko
Attacking
2HEAD1BODY3LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY2LEGS2 absorbed
Carmouche
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY2LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD1BODY3LEGS6 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Shevchenko targets the legs (50% of attacks) — Carmouche absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Carmouche targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Shevchenko absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Shevchenko
RND
Carmouche
0/0R00/0

Shevchenko · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0104.5W6.7L4.6W6.7W6.7L6.2W4.5W5.1W4.5W5.6W4.5W5.9W6.2W4.7W4.6L5.7W6.1W6.3W2015-122018-022020-112024-092025-11
WinLossTrend

Carmouche · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0101.5L6.0W5.5L6.4L5.3W4.8W5.5L4.5W4.5W6.9L2013-022014-042017-122019-08
WinLossTrend

Shevchenko · Last 5

W · Dec · R5
Zhang WeiliRating 6.3
Decision
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
W · Dec · R5
Manon FiorotRating 6.1
Decision
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
W · Dec · R5
Alexa GrassoRating 5.7
Decision
UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC · 2024-09
Upcoming
Alexa Grasso
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2 · 2023-09
L · Sub · R4
Alexa GrassoRating 4.6
Submission
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · 2023-03

Carmouche · Last 5

L · Dec · R5
Valentina ShevchenkoRating 6.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs. Carmouche 2 · 2019-08
W · Dec · R3
Lucie PudilovaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Santos · 2019-02
W · Dec · R3
Jennifer MaiaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov · 2018-07
L · Dec · R3
Alexis DavisRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Ortega · 2017-12
W · Dec · R3
Katlyn CerminaraRating 4.8
Decision
UFC 205: Alvarez vs McGregor · 2016-11

News & Media

Valentina Shevchenko · Liz Carmouche
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