Valentina Shevchenko vs Liz Carmouche — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

★ Championship Bout · Women's Flyweight

UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs. Carmouche 2

Montevideo, Uruguay

10 Aug 2019

Women's Flyweight

82%

Shevchenko

18%

Carmouche

Win Probability

Decision

Round 5 · 5:00

Valentina Shevchenko

"Bullet"

26 – 4

5'5"66" reachSouthpaw38 yrs3-fight win streakWell-Rounded

CFR 62

Liz Carmouche

"Girlrilla"

13 – 7

Well-Rounded42 yrsOrthodox66" reach5'6"

CFR 14

★ Official Result

Valentina ShevchenkowinsDecisionR5 · 5:00

def. Liz Carmouche · UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs. Carmouche 2

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Shevchenko

→

Actual result

Shevchenko wins

Decision · R5

Pre-fight analysis

Shevchenko is a strong favourite at 82% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 48 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Shevchenko has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 24 points.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

ShevchenkoCarmouche

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Shevchenko

Carmouche

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

5'5"

Height

+5'6"

66"

Reach

66"

38+

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

Shevchenko

Carmouche

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

62.2

14.0

66.5

Performance Avg

38.6

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Shevchenko

Carmouche

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

4.3

/ 10

3.0

/ 10

5.3

Style: Pressure

2.9

6.5

Style: Volume

7.4

4 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

1 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

4Distance2

0Clinch0

2Ground0

Shevchenko

Carmouche

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

2.5

/ 10

1.9

/ 10

1.8

Wrestling Style (/10)

1.3

Submission Style (/10)

0.0

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Shevchenko

Carmouche

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

Never stopped

Verdict

Never stopped

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

19/30 fights

Chin rating based on

10/20 fights

Shevchenko

Carmouche

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

3-fight 🔥 win streak

Current form

W · Dec · R5

Upcoming

L · Sub · R4

Last 5

L · Dec · R5

W · Dec · R3

L · Dec · R3

W · Dec · R3

Shevchenko

Carmouche

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

40%

20%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Shevchenko

Carmouche

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

4.3

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

3.0

2.5

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

1.9

1.8

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

1.3

Submission

Submission attack frequency

0.0

5.3

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

2.9

6.5

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

7.4

Shevchenko

Strike Zones

Carmouche

Shevchenko

Attacking

6 landed

Absorbing

2 absorbed

Carmouche

Attacking

2 landed

Absorbing

6 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Shevchenko targets the legs (50% of attacks) — Carmouche absorbs 50% of strikes there

🎯Carmouche targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Shevchenko absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Shevchenko

RND

Carmouche

0/0R00/0

Shevchenko · Last 5

W · Dec · R5

Zhang Weili

Decision

UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11

W · Dec · R5

Manon Fiorot

Decision

UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05

W · Dec · R5

Alexa Grasso

Decision

UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC · 2024-09

Upcoming

Alexa Grasso

Decision

Noche UFC: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2 · 2023-09

L · Sub · R4

Alexa Grasso

Submission

UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · 2023-03

Carmouche · Last 5

L · Dec · R5

Valentina Shevchenko

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs. Carmouche 2 · 2019-08

W · Dec · R3

Lucie Pudilova

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Santos · 2019-02

W · Dec · R3

Jennifer Maia

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov · 2018-07

L · Dec · R3

Alexis Davis

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Ortega · 2017-12

W · Dec · R3

Katlyn Cerminara

Decision

UFC 205: Alvarez vs McGregor · 2016-11

News & Media

Valentina Shevchenko · Liz Carmouche

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