UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer
Las Vegas, USA
10 Feb 2024
Middleweight
VS
67%
Vieira
33%
Petrosyan
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 4:48
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Vieira
Vieira holds a meaningful edge at 67% per the CFR ratings — but Petrosyan has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 30 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Vieira has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 21 points.
Petrosyan has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Vieira's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Petrosyan has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Vieira
Petrosyan
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'3"
73"+
Reach
71"
36
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Vieira
Petrosyan
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
60.7
30.3
49.5
Performance Avg
32.1
46
Quality of Victory
25
91
Momentum Score
30
Vieira
Petrosyan
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
2.5
52%
Strike Accuracy
53%
1.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.9
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
1
0
Body
1
2
Leg
7
RangeRange
6Distance9
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Vieira
Petrosyan
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
7.1
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
5.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
8.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
5
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Vieira
Petrosyan
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
52
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/16 fights
Chin rating based on
7/14 fights
Vieira
Petrosyan
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
91
30
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Vieira
Petrosyan
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
83%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
5
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Vieira
Petrosyan
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.9
7.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
5.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
8.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.3
2.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.9
VieiraPetrosyan
Strike Zones
Vieira
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedPetrosyan
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Vieira targets the head (67% of attacks) — Petrosyan absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Petrosyan targets the legs (78% of attacks) — Vieira absorbs 78% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Vieira
RND
Petrosyan
0/0R00/0
Vieira · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Petrosyan · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Vieira · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Eric McConicoRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
L · KO · R3
Bo NickalRating 5.7KO/TKO
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Tresean GoreRating 5.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Andre PetroskiRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
W · Sub · R1
Armen PetrosyanRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · 2024-02
Petrosyan · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Brunno FerreiraRating 4.3Submission
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · 2025-03
L · KO · R2
Shara MagomedovRating 4.2KO/TKO
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
L · Sub · R1
Rodolfo VieiraRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · 2024-02
W · Dec · R3
Christian Leroy DuncanRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier · 2023-06
W · Dec · R3
AJ DobsonRating 4.5Decision
UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev · 2022-10