UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama
Las Vegas, USA
1 Nov 2025
Heavyweight
VS
55%
Acosta
45%
Delija
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:59
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Acosta
This is a genuine toss-up — Acosta at 55% vs Delija at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Delija has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 19 points.
Acosta has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Acosta
Delija
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'3"
78"
Reach
78"
34+
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Acosta
Delija
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
65.8
54.9
55.7
Performance Avg
49.3
42
Quality of Victory
60
100
Momentum Score
43
Acosta
Delija
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.4
2.3
50%
Strike Accuracy
39%
6.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
5 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
13
2
Body
2
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
4Distance15
2Clinch1
6Ground0
Acosta
Delija
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.2
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Acosta
Delija
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
94
76
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/20 fights
Chin rating based on
3/34 fights
Acosta
Delija
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
43
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Acosta
Delija
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
100%
5
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Acosta
Delija
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
5.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
AcostaDelija
Strike Zones
Acosta
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedDelija
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Acosta targets the head (75% of attacks) — Delija absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Delija targets the head (81% of attacks) — Acosta absorbs 81% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Acosta
RND
Delija
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Acosta · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.6WinLossTrend
Delija · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Acosta · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Alexander VolkovRating 6.8Decision
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
W · KO · R2
Derrick LewisRating 6.5KO/TKO
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
W · KO · R1
Shamil GazievRating 5.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
W · KO · R1
Ante DelijaRating 6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama · 2025-11
L · Dec · R3
Sergei PavlovichRating 6.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08
Delija · Last 3
L · Dec · R3
Serghei SpivacRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
L · KO · R1
Waldo Cortes AcostaRating 3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama · 2025-11
W · KO · R1
Marcin TyburaRating 5.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · 2025-09

