UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz
Rio Rancho, USA
15 Feb 2020
Lightweight
VS
43%
Weaver
57%
Vargas
Win Probability
BW
Brok Weaver
"Chata Tuska"
15 – 6
6'0"73" reachSouthpaw34 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 12
KV
Kazula Vargas
12 – 5
Well-Rounded40 yrsSouthpaw71" reach5'8"
CFR 16

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Vargas

This is a genuine toss-up — Weaver at 43% vs Vargas at 57% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Weaver has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Weaver
Vargas
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'8"
73"+
Reach
71"
34+
Age
40
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Weaver
Vargas
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
12.2
16.3
31.3
Performance Avg
25.0
30
Quality of Victory
25
43
Momentum Score
33
Weaver
Vargas
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.1
2.0
60%
Strike Accuracy
51%
0.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
6
0
Body
5
2
Leg
4
RangeRange
4Distance9
0Clinch3
1Ground3
Weaver
Vargas
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.0
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Weaver
Vargas
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
84
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/21 fights
Chin rating based on
4/17 fights
Weaver
Vargas
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
33
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · R1
L · Dec · R3
Weaver
Vargas
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Weaver
Vargas
Striking0.7 / 0.5Volume0.7 / 8.5Grappling0.0 / 2.4Wrestling0.0 / 1.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure1.0 / 0.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
0.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
Weaver
Strike Zones
Vargas
Weaver
Attacking
3HEAD0BODY2LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD5BODY4LEGS15 absorbed
Vargas
Attacking
6HEAD5BODY4LEGS15 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD0BODY2LEGS5 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Weaver targets the head (60% of attacks) — Vargas absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Vargas targets the head (40% of attacks) — Weaver absorbs 40% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Weaver
RND
Vargas
0/0R00/0

Weaver · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.7
0104.0W3.0L4.0L2020-022020-052020-09
WinLossTrend

Vargas · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.4
0105.5L4.0L5.0W3.2L2019-082020-022021-042022-03
WinLossTrend

Weaver · Last 3

L · Sub · R2
Jalin TurnerRating 4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill · 2020-09
L · Sub · R2
Roosevelt RobertsRating 3
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Burns · 2020-05
W · R1
Kazula VargasRating 4
UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz · 2020-02

Vargas · Last 4

L · Sub · R1
Paddy PimblettRating 3.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall · 2022-03
W · Dec · R3
RongzhuRating 5
Decision
UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2 · 2021-04
L · R1
Brok WeaverRating 4
UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz · 2020-02
L · Dec · R3
Alex Da SilvaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs. Carmouche 2 · 2019-08

News & Media

Brok Weaver · Kazula Vargas
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