METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 40: Vendetta
Las Vegas, USA
22 Nov 2002
Heavyweight
VS
72%
Arlovski
28%
Freeman
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:18
Andrei
Andrei Arlovski
"The Pitbull"
34 – 24
6'3"77" reachOrthodox47 yrs4-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 49
IF
Ian Freeman
"The Machine"
20 – 7
Striker59 yrsOrthodox5'11"
CFR 20
★ Official Result
Andrei ArlovskiwinsKO/TKOR1 · 1:18
def. Ian Freeman · UFC 40: Vendetta

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Arlovski
→
Actual result
Arlovski wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis

Arlovski is a strong favourite at 72% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 30 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Freeman has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Arlovski's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Freeman has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
ArlovskiFreeman
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Arlovski
Freeman
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
5'11"
77"
Reach
47+
Age
59
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Arlovski
Freeman
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
49.1
19.5
50.5
Performance Avg
52.0
47
Quality of Victory
47
94
Momentum Score
63
Arlovski
Freeman
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.5
1.6
47%
Strike Accuracy
54%
5.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.9
9 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
0
0
Body
0
7
Leg
1
RangeRange
10Distance1
4Clinch0
0Ground0
Arlovski
Freeman
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.7
1.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.8
1.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Arlovski
Freeman
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
66
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
8
KO/TKO Losses
1
3
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.8 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
42/58 fights
Chin rating based on
6/27 fights
Arlovski
Freeman
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
94
63
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Arlovski
Freeman
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
48%
67%
9
KO / TKO Wins
2
2
Submission Wins
0
12
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Arlovski
Freeman
Striking5.0 / 7.9Volume5.3 / 3.9Grappling1.9 / 0.8Wrestling1.4 / 0.6Submission0.9 / 0.0Pressure5.0 / 6.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.9
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.8
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
0.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.5
5.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.9
Arlovski
Strike Zones
Freeman
Arlovski
Attacking
7HEAD0BODY7LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY1LEGS1 absorbed
Freeman
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY1LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD0BODY7LEGS14 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Arlovski targets the head (50% of attacks) — Freeman absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Freeman targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Arlovski absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Arlovski
RND
Freeman
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Arlovski · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0105.0W4.0L4.0L5.0W5.0W5.2W5.0W5.0W5.0W1.5L5.5L5.0W4.5W5.2W4.5W5.0W5.0W4.5W2.6L2.1L2.8L1.9L5.9L4.5W4.5W5.9L5.5L5.7L4.5W2.6L5.2W5.1W5.2L4.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W2.1L3.1L7.0L6.5L2000-112006-122017-062021-042024-06
WinLossTrend

Freeman · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.7
0101.5L5.2W4.5W5.0W2.2L2000-032000-062000-092002-072002-11
WinLossTrend

Arlovski · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Martin BudayRating 6.5
Decision
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L · Dec · R3
Waldo Cortes AcostaRating 7
Decision
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L · KO · R2
Don'Tale MayesRating 3.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi · 2023-06
L · Sub · R1
Marcos Rogerio de LimaRating 2.1
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen · 2022-10
W · Dec · R3
Jake CollierRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera · 2022-04

Freeman · Last 5

Upcoming
Vernon White
Decision
UFC 43: Meltdown · 2003-06
L · KO · R1
Andrei ArlovskiRating 2.2
KO/TKO
UFC 40: Vendetta · 2002-11
W · KO · R1
Frank MirRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 38: Brawl at the Hall · 2002-07
W · Dec · R3
Tedd WilliamsRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 27: Ultimate Bad Boyz · 2000-09
W · KO · R2
Nate SchroederRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 26: Ultimate Field Of Dreams · 2000-06

News & Media

Andrei Arlovski · Ian Freeman
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