UFC 40: Vendetta
Las Vegas, USA
22 Nov 2002
Heavyweight
VS
72%
Arlovski
28%
Freeman
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:18
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Arlovski
Arlovski is a strong favourite at 72% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 30 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Freeman has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Arlovski's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Freeman has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Arlovski
Freeman
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
5'11"
77"
Reach
47+
Age
59
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Arlovski
Freeman
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
49.1
19.5
50.5
Performance Avg
52.0
47
Quality of Victory
47
94
Momentum Score
63
Arlovski
Freeman
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
1.6
47%
Strike Accuracy
54%
5.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.9
9 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
0
0
Body
0
7
Leg
1
RangeRange
10Distance1
4Clinch0
0Ground0
Arlovski
Freeman
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.7
1.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.8
1.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Arlovski
Freeman
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
66
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
8
KO/TKO Losses
1
3
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.8 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
42/58 fights
Chin rating based on
6/27 fights
Arlovski
Freeman
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
94
63
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Arlovski
Freeman
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
48%
67%
9
KO / TKO Wins
2
2
Submission Wins
0
12
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Arlovski
Freeman
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.9
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.8
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
0.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.5
5.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.9
ArlovskiFreeman
Strike Zones
Arlovski
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedFreeman
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Arlovski targets the head (50% of attacks) — Freeman absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Freeman targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Arlovski absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Arlovski
RND
Freeman
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Arlovski · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Freeman · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.7WinLossTrend
Arlovski · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Martin BudayRating 6.5Decision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
L · Dec · R3
Waldo Cortes AcostaRating 7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · 2024-01
L · KO · R2
Don'Tale MayesRating 3.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi · 2023-06
L · Sub · R1
Marcos Rogerio de LimaRating 2.1Submission
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen · 2022-10
W · Dec · R3
Jake CollierRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera · 2022-04
Freeman · Last 5
Upcoming
Vernon WhiteDecision
UFC 43: Meltdown · 2003-06
L · KO · R1
Andrei ArlovskiRating 2.2KO/TKO
UFC 40: Vendetta · 2002-11
W · KO · R1
Frank MirRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 38: Brawl at the Hall · 2002-07
W · Dec · R3
Tedd WilliamsRating 4.5Decision
UFC 27: Ultimate Bad Boyz · 2000-09
W · KO · R2
Nate SchroederRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 26: Ultimate Field Of Dreams · 2000-06
