UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Till
Gdansk, Poland
21 Oct 2017
Middleweight
VS
51%
Alvey
49%
Emeev
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
SA
Sam Alvey
"Smile'N"
33 – 18
6'2"75" reachSouthpaw40 yrs8-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 23
RE
Ramazan Emeev
"Gorets"
20 – 6
Well-Rounded2-fight slide39 yrsSouthpaw76" reach5'10"
CFR 22

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Alvey

This is a genuine toss-up — Alvey at 51% vs Emeev at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Alvey has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 20 points.

Alvey has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Alvey's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Alvey
Emeev
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
5'10"
75"
Reach
+76"
40
Age
+39
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Alvey
Emeev
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
22.9
21.7
44.3
Performance Avg
40.0
45
Quality of Victory
25
43
Momentum Score
45
Alvey
Emeev
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
0.9
46%
Strike Accuracy
45%
5.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.3
5 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
11
7
Body
2
3
Leg
1
RangeRange
6Distance6
10Clinch8
0Ground0
Alvey
Emeev
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
1.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Alvey
Emeev
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
74
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
4
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
24/51 fights
Chin rating based on
8/26 fights
Alvey
Emeev
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
45
8-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Upcoming
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Alvey
Emeev
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
0%
5
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Alvey
Emeev
Striking5.9 / 1.3Volume4.1 / 9.3Grappling1.8 / 2.4Wrestling1.2 / 1.7Submission1.0 / 0.0Pressure5.5 / 1.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.3
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
1.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.9
4.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.3
Alvey
Strike Zones
Emeev
Alvey
Attacking
6HEAD7BODY3LEGS16 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD2BODY1LEGS14 absorbed
Emeev
Attacking
11HEAD2BODY1LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD7BODY3LEGS16 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Alvey targets the body (44% of attacks) — Emeev absorbs 44% of strikes there
🎯Emeev targets the head (79% of attacks) — Alvey absorbs 79% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Alvey
RND
Emeev
0/0R00/0

Alvey · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.5L5.0W5.0W5.0W1.8L5.5L5.0W5.2W4.5W4.5W5.5L4.5W5.5L5.4W4.5W2.8L3.0L5.5L5.9L3.3L5.5L4.1L2.5L2014-082016-072017-102020-052022-08
WinLossTrend

Emeev · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0104.5W4.5W4.5W5.5L4.5W4.5W5.5L3.0L2017-102018-092020-072021-102022-06
WinLossTrend

Alvey · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Michal OleksiejczukRating 2.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill · 2022-08
L · Sub · R2
Brendan AllenRating 4.1
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland · 2022-02
L · Dec · R3
Wellington TurmanRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Chikadze · 2021-08
L · Sub · R2
Julian MarquezRating 3.3
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Holland · 2021-04
Upcoming
Da Woon Jung
Decision
UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje · 2020-10

Emeev · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Jack Della MaddalenaRating 3
KO/TKO
UFC 275: Teixeira vs. Prochazka · 2022-06
L · Dec · R3
Danny RobertsRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ladd vs. Dumont · 2021-10
W · Dec · R3
David ZawadaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Kattar · 2021-01
W · Dec · R3
Niklas StolzeRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07
L · Dec · R3
Anthony Rocco MartinRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Kattar · 2019-11

News & Media

Sam Alvey · Ramazan Emeev
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