METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria
Anaheim, USA
17 Feb 2024
Welterweight
VS
90%
Elliott
10%
Woodburn
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Oban ElliottwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Val Woodburn · UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Elliott
→
Actual result
Elliott wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Elliott is a strong favourite at 90% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 36 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Elliott has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 33 points.
Risk flags
Elliott's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ElliottWoodburn
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Elliott
Woodburn
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'8"
72"
Reach
+74"
28+
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Elliott
Woodburn
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
40.7
4.6
40.0
Performance Avg
0.0
33
Quality of Victory
0
40
Momentum Score
0
Elliott
Woodburn
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.3
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
3.8
Style: Pressure
0.0
6.3
Style: Volume
0.0
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
9
1
Body
1
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
10Distance7
0Clinch4
9Ground1
Elliott
Woodburn
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.6
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Elliott
Woodburn
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
76
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/16 fights
Chin rating based on
2/9 fights
Elliott
Woodburn
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Elliott
Woodburn
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Elliott
Woodburn
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
ElliottWoodburn
Strike Zones
Elliott
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedWoodburn
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Elliott targets the head (89% of attacks) — Woodburn absorbs 89% of strikes there
🎯Woodburn targets the head (75% of attacks) — Elliott absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Elliott
RND
Woodburn
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Elliott · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Michael OliveiraKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez · 2026-08
L · Sub · R2
Jonathan MicallefSubmission
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · 2026-01
L · Dec · R3
Seokhyeon KoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. · 2025-06
W · KO · R3
Bassil HafezKO/TKO
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
W · Dec · R3
Preston ParsonsDecision
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
Woodburn · Last 2
L · Dec · R3
Oban ElliottDecision
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02
L · KO · R1
Bo NickalKO/TKO
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez · 2023-07