UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria
Anaheim, USA
17 Feb 2024
Welterweight
VS
90%
Elliott
10%
Woodburn
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Oban
Oban Elliott
"The Welsh Gangster"
12 – 4
6'0"72" reachOrthodox28 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 49
Val
Val Woodburn
"The Animal"
7 – 2
Well-Rounded2-fight slide32 yrsOrthodox74" reach5'8"
CFR 6

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Elliott

Elliott is a strong favourite at 90% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 43 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Elliott has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 33 points.

Elliott has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Elliott
Woodburn
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'8"
72"
Reach
+74"
28+
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Elliott
Woodburn
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
48.9
5.5
44.0
Performance Avg
0.0
33
Quality of Victory
0
61
Momentum Score
0
Elliott
Woodburn
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
0.8
56%
Strike Accuracy
42%
4.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
9
1
Body
1
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
10Distance7
0Clinch4
9Ground1
Elliott
Woodburn
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.9
1.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
1.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Elliott
Woodburn
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
86
76
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/16 fights
Chin rating based on
2/9 fights
Elliott
Woodburn
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
61
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Elliott
Woodburn
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Elliott
Woodburn
Striking4.5 / 0.0Volume6.5 / 0.0Grappling1.6 / 0.0Wrestling1.1 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure4.1 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Elliott
Strike Zones
Woodburn
Elliott
Attacking
17HEAD1BODY1LEGS19 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD1BODY2LEGS12 absorbed
Woodburn
Attacking
9HEAD1BODY2LEGS12 landed
Absorbing
17HEAD1BODY1LEGS19 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Elliott targets the head (89% of attacks) — Woodburn absorbs 89% of strikes there
🎯Woodburn targets the head (75% of attacks) — Elliott absorbs 75% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Elliott
RND
Woodburn
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Elliott · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0104.5W4.5W5.5W6.8L4.3L2024-022024-072024-112025-062026-01
WinLossTrend

Woodburn · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0103.2L6.2L2023-072024-02
WinLossTrend

Elliott · Last 5

L · Sub · R2
Jonathan MicallefRating 4.3
Submission
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · 2026-01
L · Dec · R3
Seokhyeon KoRating 6.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. · 2025-06
W · KO · R3
Bassil HafezRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
W · Dec · R3
Preston ParsonsRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
W · Dec · R3
Val WoodburnRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02

Woodburn · Last 2

L · Dec · R3
Oban ElliottRating 6.2
Decision
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02
L · KO · R1
Bo NickalRating 3.2
KO/TKO
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez · 2023-07

News & Media

Oban Elliott · Val Woodburn
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