METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Gaethje
Vancouver, Canada
14 Sept 2019
Bantamweight
VS
24%
Smith
76%
Johns
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Miles JohnswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Cole Smith · UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Gaethje
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Johns
→
Actual result
Johns wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Johns is a strong favourite at 76% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 24 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Johns has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Johns has a chin rating of 50 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SmithJohns
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Smith
Johns
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'7"
67"
Reach
+68"
37
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Smith
Johns
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
10.9
34.7
28.3
Performance Avg
41.8
25
Quality of Victory
33
27
Momentum Score
10
Smith
Johns
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.6
1.1
27%
Strike Accuracy
40%
0.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.4
0 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
23
6
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
9Distance20
0Clinch3
0Ground0
Smith
Johns
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.6
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Smith
Johns
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
96
50
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
2
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
10 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/9 fights
Chin rating based on
12/20 fights
Smith
Johns
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
27
10
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Smith
Johns
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
33%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Smith
Johns
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.4
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.0
8.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.4
SmithJohns
Strike Zones
Smith
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
23 absorbedJohns
Attacking
23 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Smith targets the body (67% of attacks) — Johns absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Johns targets the head (100% of attacks) — Smith absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Smith
RND
Johns
0/0R00/0
Smith · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Johns · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Smith · Last 3
L · Dec · R3
Hunter AzureRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Sakai · 2020-09
L · Dec · R3
Miles JohnsRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Gaethje · 2019-09
W · Dec · R3
Mitch GagnonRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Iaquinta vs. Cowboy · 2019-05
Johns · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Daniel MarcosRating 4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
L · Dec · R3
Jean MatsumotoRating 6.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Felipe LimaRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Douglas Silva de AndradeRating 4.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira · 2024-06
W · Dec · R3
Cody GibsonRating 4.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas · 2024-03