UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Gaethje
Vancouver, Canada
14 Sept 2019
Bantamweight
VS
24%
Smith
76%
Johns
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
CS
Cole Smith
"The Cole Train"
7 – 2
5'11"67" reachOrthodox37 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 11
Miles
Miles Johns
"Chapo"
15 – 5
Well-Rounded3-fight slide32 yrsOrthodox68" reach5'7"
CFR 35

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Johns

Johns is a strong favourite at 76% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 24 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Johns has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Johns has a chin rating of 50 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Smith
Johns
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'7"
67"
Reach
+68"
37
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Smith
Johns
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
10.9
34.7
28.3
Performance Avg
41.8
25
Quality of Victory
33
27
Momentum Score
10
Smith
Johns
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.6
1.1
27%
Strike Accuracy
40%
0.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.4
0 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
23
6
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
9Distance20
0Clinch3
0Ground0
Smith
Johns
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.6
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Smith
Johns
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
96
50
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
2
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
10 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/9 fights
Chin rating based on
12/20 fights
Smith
Johns
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
27
10
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Smith
Johns
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
33%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Smith
Johns
Striking0.7 / 4.4Volume8.7 / 6.4Grappling2.4 / 1.6Wrestling1.7 / 1.1Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure1.0 / 4.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.4
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.0
8.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.4
Smith
Strike Zones
Johns
Smith
Attacking
3HEAD6BODY0LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
23HEAD0BODY0LEGS23 absorbed
Johns
Attacking
23HEAD0BODY0LEGS23 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD6BODY0LEGS9 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Smith targets the body (67% of attacks) — Johns absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Johns targets the head (100% of attacks) — Smith absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Smith
RND
Johns
0/0R00/0

Smith · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0104.5W5.5L5.5L2019-052019-092020-09
WinLossTrend

Johns · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0104.5W3.8L5.5W5.5W4.8L4.5W4.7W4.7W6.5L6.4L4.0L2019-092021-082024-032025-082025-11
WinLossTrend

Smith · Last 3

L · Dec · R3
Hunter AzureRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Sakai · 2020-09
L · Dec · R3
Miles JohnsRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Gaethje · 2019-09
W · Dec · R3
Mitch GagnonRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Iaquinta vs. Cowboy · 2019-05

Johns · Last 5

L · Sub · R2
Daniel MarcosRating 4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
L · Dec · R3
Jean MatsumotoRating 6.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Felipe LimaRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Douglas Silva de AndradeRating 4.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira · 2024-06
W · Dec · R3
Cody GibsonRating 4.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas · 2024-03

News & Media

Cole Smith · Miles Johns
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