★ Championship Bout · Light Heavyweight
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev
Las Vegas, USA
8 Mar 2025
Light Heavyweight
VS
54%
Pereira
46%
Ankalaev
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
Alex
Alex Pereira
"Poatan"
13 – 3
6'4"79" reachOrthodox38 yrsKnockout Artist
CFR 77
Magomed
Magomed Ankalaev
21 – 2
Striker33 yrsOrthodox75" reach6'3"
CFR 66

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Pereira

This is a genuine toss-up — Pereira at 54% vs Ankalaev at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Pereira has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 29 points.

Pereira has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Ankalaev has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Pereira
Ankalaev
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'3"
79"+
Reach
75"
38
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Pereira
Ankalaev
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
76.5
66.0
76.4
Performance Avg
59.9
72
Quality of Victory
43
78
Momentum Score
100
Pereira
Ankalaev
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.3
1.3
68%
Strike Accuracy
59%
9.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.7
8 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
5
2
Body
6
8
Leg
9
RangeRange
14Distance14
0Clinch6
0Ground0
Pereira
Ankalaev
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.5
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
0.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Pereira
Ankalaev
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
66
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
8 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/16 fights
Chin rating based on
16/23 fights
Pereira
Ankalaev
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
78
100
Upcoming
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R4
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Upcoming
Pereira
Ankalaev
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
50%
8
KO / TKO Wins
6
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
6

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Pereira
Ankalaev
Striking9.7 / 6.7Volume3.3 / 5.7Grappling0.5 / 1.2Wrestling0.3 / 0.8Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure8.1 / 6.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
9.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.7
0.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
0.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.1
3.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.7
Pereira
Strike Zones
Ankalaev
Pereira
Attacking
4HEAD2BODY8LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD6BODY9LEGS20 absorbed
Ankalaev
Attacking
5HEAD6BODY9LEGS20 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD2BODY8LEGS14 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Pereira targets the legs (57% of attacks) — Ankalaev absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Ankalaev targets the legs (45% of attacks) — Pereira absorbs 45% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Pereira
RND
Ankalaev
0/0R00/0

Pereira · QOF Timeline

Avg: 6.0
0105.2W5.8W6.1W6.9W3.5L5.1W6.8W6.3W6.8W6.3W7.0L6.5W2021-112022-112023-112024-102025-10
WinLossTrend

Ankalaev · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0104.7L5.4W4.5W5.5W5.3W5.3W5.7W5.3W4.5W6.4W5.9W4.6W6.6W3.6L2018-032020-022022-032025-032025-10
WinLossTrend

Pereira · Last 5

Upcoming
Ciryl Gane
UFC Freedom 250 · 2026-06
W · KO · R1
Magomed AnkalaevRating 6.5
KO/TKO
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
L · Dec · R5
Magomed AnkalaevRating 7
Decision
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · 2025-03
W · KO · R4
Khalil Rountree Jr.Rating 6.3
KO/TKO
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
W · KO · R2
Jiri ProchazkaRating 6.8
KO/TKO
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06

Ankalaev · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Alex PereiraRating 3.6
KO/TKO
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · Dec · R5
Alex PereiraRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Aleksandar RakicRating 4.6
Decision
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
W · KO · R2
Johnny WalkerRating 5.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · 2024-01
Upcoming
Johnny Walker
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10

News & Media

Alex Pereira · Magomed Ankalaev
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