METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
★ Championship Bout · Light Heavyweight
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev
Las Vegas, USA
8 Mar 2025
Light Heavyweight
VS
52%
Pereira
48%
Ankalaev
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Magomed AnkalaevwinsDecisionR5 · 5:00
def. Alex Pereira · UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Pereira
→
Actual result
Ankalaev wins
Decision · R5
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Pereira at 52% vs Ankalaev at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Pereira has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 29 points.
Risk flags
Pereira's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Ankalaev has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
PereiraAnkalaev
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Pereira
Ankalaev
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'3"
79"+
Reach
75"
39
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Pereira
Ankalaev
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
73.3
66.7
73.8
Performance Avg
60.6
72
Quality of Victory
43
78
Momentum Score
100
Pereira
Ankalaev
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
9.5
/ 10
7.1
/ 10
7.9
Style: Pressure
6.4
3.1
Style: Volume
5.4
8 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
7 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
5
2
Body
6
8
Leg
9
RangeRange
14Distance14
0Clinch6
0Ground0
Pereira
Ankalaev
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.5
/ 10
1.1
/ 10
0.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Pereira
Ankalaev
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
66
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/16 fights
Chin rating based on
17/23 fights
Pereira
Ankalaev
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
78
100
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R4
W · KO · R2
Last 5
W · KO · R5
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Pereira
Ankalaev
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
54%
8
KO / TKO Wins
7
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Pereira
Ankalaev
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
9.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.1
0.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.1
0.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.4
3.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.4
PereiraAnkalaev
Strike Zones
Pereira
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedAnkalaev
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Pereira targets the legs (57% of attacks) — Ankalaev absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Ankalaev targets the legs (45% of attacks) — Pereira absorbs 45% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Pereira
RND
Ankalaev
0/0R00/0
Pereira · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Ciryl GaneKO/TKO
UFC Freedom 250 · 2026-06
W · KO · R1
Magomed AnkalaevKO/TKO
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
L · Dec · R5
Magomed AnkalaevDecision
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · 2025-03
W · KO · R4
Khalil Rountree Jr.KO/TKO
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
W · KO · R2
Jiri ProchazkaKO/TKO
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
Ankalaev · Last 5
W · KO · R5
Bogdan GuskovKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov · 2026-07
L · KO · R1
Alex PereiraKO/TKO
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · Dec · R5
Alex PereiraDecision
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Aleksandar RakicDecision
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
W · KO · R2
Johnny WalkerKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · 2024-01